India: Increased security likely ahead of and during Himachal Pradesh State assembly elections Nov. 12

Event

Political rallies and increased security are likely in Himachal Pradesh ahead of and during the assembly elections Nov. 12. Officials plan to announce the election results Dec. 8. Increased security deployment and political gatherings are likely throughout the state in the run-up to, during, and immediately after the vote.

Multiple political parties, including the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), Aam Aadmi Party (AAP), and Indian National Congress (INC), have announced rallies from early November. The largest rallies are likely in urban centers, such as Kangra, Mandi, and Shimla. Likely gathering locations include stadiums and public grounds. Rallies will likely involve thousands of people. Authorities will almost certainly tighten security near all rally venues, especially those attended by prominent political leaders. Most campaign events will likely pass peacefully, though clashes between rival political groups cannot be ruled out.

Some parties may hold protests before and during the election, especially if there are allegations of irregularities. However, any unrest that occurs will probably be localized, as security forces will likely respond quickly to any violent demonstrations. Clashes are possible, mainly if police forcibly try to disperse demonstrators. Localized transport disruptions may occur near protest venues, especially if protesters block roadways.

Advice

Prepare for increased security - potentially including roadblocks and identification checks - in Himachal Pradesh State through at least Nov. 12. Allow additional travel time on the polling day; confirm business appointments and transport reservations in advance. Exercise caution near political party offices, rallies, polling stations, security force checkpoints, and government buildings due to the potential for violence. If an unruly gathering forms, immediately leave the area and seek shelter at a safe nongovernment building. Carry valid identification and heed instructions from security personnel.