Tunisia: Demonstrations and heightened security likely ahead of parliamentary elections, scheduled for Dec. 17

Event

Political demonstrations and heightened security measures are likely throughout Tunisia ahead of, during, and immediately after the Dec. 17 parliamentary elections. Anti-government sentiment remains high amid the nation's profound economic and political crisis, with numerous protests being held across the country in recent months to denounce deteriorating socioeconomic conditions and perceived government mismanagement. Activists will likely stage protests, and political demonstrations in support of various parties as the polls approach.

Authorities will almost certainly deploy increased security to any political demonstrations and polling stations to safeguard electoral proceedings. Localized transport and business disruptions are likely near protest areas. Clashes between demonstrators and security forces could occur.

Context

Since his election in 2019, President Kais Saied has implemented numerous reforms to consolidate his power, bypassing democratic rule. In 2021, he dissolved the parliament and started ruling through decree. In July 2022, through a referendum where only 30.5 percent of the population voted, Saied changed the constitution and created a presidential system, further strengthening his control. The new constitution has angered most opposition parties as it has reduced the power of the parliament and many Tunisian institutions.

In September 2022, Saied also enacted new legislation, ending the party-based electoral system and removing quotas for women candidates. This decision weakened political parties and their ability to organize an opposition. Many political parties have already announced they will boycott the Dec. 17 elections to protest the reduced power of the institution and the new reforms. Only 1,058 candidacies were accepted by Tunisia's Independent High Authority for Elections (ISIE), compared to over 1,500 in 2019. Seven constituencies do not have candidates to represent them in the election. The Free Constitutional Party (FCP) has filed a complaint with a Tunisian court to halt the parliamentary elections altogether.

The weakening of democratic institutions, combined with a crippling economic crisis, led to an increase in civil unrest, with over 5,000 protests recorded throughout Tunisia in the first half of 2022.

Advice

Avoid polling stations and any political demonstrations and gatherings in the run-up to and during the election period. If unrest breaks out, immediately depart the area and seek shelter in a secure, nongovernmental building. Allow extra time to reach destinations in protest-affected areas; consider taking alternative routes to circumvent related disruptions. Strictly heed the instructions of authorities.