27 Jan 2023 | 11:23 PM UTC
Myanmar: Protests possible into early February in reaction to regime's new Political Parties Registration Law
Protests against regime's new Political Parties Registration Law possible across Myanmar into early February. Increased security likely.
Event
Protests to oppose the regime's new Political Parties Registration Law are possible across Myanmar into early February. As of Jan. 28, the military (Tatmadaw) has implemented legislation that requires political parties to reregister within 60 days or risk dissolution. Several political parties and activists have already condemned the new law. Although no group immediately announced plans for specific demonstrations, protests could occur particularly in urban centers, such as Yangon, near government buildings, prominent squares in city centers, and along main thoroughfares. Participation will likely vary by location.
Increased security is almost certain near any sites where demonstrations materialize. Security personnel will likely resort to the use of force to quickly disperse any gatherings. Clashes between protesters and police are possible. Protesters may march along or block roadways, causing localized transport disruptions. Violence may also prompt localized business disruptions.
Context
The first general election is slated to take place by August since the Tatmadaw ousted the democratically elected government led by the National League for Democracy (NLD) in February 2021. Critics argue that the new legislation will catalyze the dissolution of several political parties in favor of the military-backed Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP). The new law calls for political entities to, inter alia, recruit a minimum of 100,000 members within 90 days of their approved registration and open offices in over 150 townships within six months.
Advice
Avoid all demonstrations due to possible violence. Do not record any military-related movements or demonstrations due to the risk of arbritary detention. If clashes break out, depart the area immediately. Allow additional travel time near protests. Remain polite and nonconfrontational if questioned by security personnel. Heed all official security and transport advisories.
