Nepal: Protests denouncing dissolution of parliament planned though early February

Event

Protests by various civil and political groups denouncing the dissolution of parliament will continue across Nepal through at least early February. A faction of the ruling Nepal Communist Party (NCP), led by chairman Pushpa Kamal Dahal, plans to hold protests across Nepal from Jan. 26. Additional demonstrations by other groups such as civil activists, opposition parties such as the Nepal Congress, and royalist outfits demanding the return of the Hindu monarchy in place of the current government are likely in the coming weeks.

Organizers will likely hold rallies at urban centers such as the capital, Kathmandu. Protests are also probable in district and provincial capitals. Turnout will vary with location; larger demonstrations in urban centers, such as Kathmandu and the Terai region in southern Nepal, could involve hundreds of people. Other unannounced gatherings will likely occur outside government buildings or at popular rally sites, such as prominent public squares, intersections, and parks.

Security forces are on high alert and have deployed to guard sensitive sites, such as the residences of the prime minister and president. Police will almost certainly deploy to monitor large demonstrations, mainly in Kathmandu. Clashes between police and protesters could occur; authorities may try to break up more disruptive rallies. Police have dispersed anti-governmental protests with water cannon and arrested protesters during similar events. Localized transport disruptions are likely near well-attended demonstrations. Business disruptions are also possible, especially if violence occurs.

Context

Prime Minister Oli, who is facing pressure to resign from opposing factions within his own Nepal Communist Party (NCP), as well as opposition parties and civil groups, obtained presidential assent to dissolve parliament Dec. 20. The move, which came hours after several lawmakers filed a no-confidence motion against his government, is facing legal challenges and public protest for inadequate grounds. Political protests will likely continue in the medium term and could result in sporadic and localized violence.

Advice

Avoid protests due to possible clashes. If violence breaks out nearby, take shelter in a secure, non-governmental building. Follow all security personnel instructions. Monitor trusted local news sources, as demonstrators may not announce protests in advance. Allow additional travel time near demonstrations. Confirm business appointments and transport reservations in advance.