Iran: Tensions high ahead of May 19 elections

Event

More than 60 electoral violations were reported ahead of the presidential and regional elections set to take place on Friday, May 19. Two campaign workers have been arrested, accused of attempting to steal documents from rival candidates. Details concerning the other violations have not been publicized.

Tensions have increased between moderate candidate and current President Hassan Rouhani and conservative Ebrahim Raisi, the two favorites. Criticisms and accusations have played an important role during the campaign period and President Rouhani has called for religious leaders and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) to abstain from attempting to influence the elections in any way.

High security measures are expected on election day. As such, some areas may be restricted or closed and security checkpoints may be established at various points across the capital Tehran. Associated transportation disruptions are to be anticipated.

Protests are highly likely before, during, and after the election due to the above mentioned violations and the possibility of electoral fraud.

Context

The May 19 presidential election could change the political orientation of Iran and may strongly influence Iran-United States relations, which have become increasingly tense since the election of President Donald Trump.

Allegations of fraud and violations are common during electoral periods in Iran. Violent protests erupted following the 2009 presidential elections amid accusations of fraud; dozens of people were killed and hundreds arrested during the protests, which were violently suppressed.

Advice

Individuals in Iran are advised to avoid any form of public gathering or demonstration, to monitor political developments, and to limit travel within the country on election day.