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31 Oct 2019 | 03:58 PM UTC

Iraq: Prime Minister Adil Abdul-Mahdi to resign October 31 /update 33

Prime Minister Adil Abdul-Mahdi likely to resign October 31 followings weeks of political unrest; significant disruptions and demonstrations expected over the coming days

Warning

Event

In a televised address on Thursday, October 31, President Barham Saleh announced that Prime Minister Adil Abdul-Mahdi has agreed to resign following weeks of anti-government protests, on the condition that the country's party blocs in the Iraqi parliament agree on his successor to avoid a political vacuum.

The president added that snap elections would be held depending on whether a new electoral law is passed, which should be submitted to Parliament next week.

Demonstrations and associated unrest are possible, after the resignation is confirmed, in the coming hours and days. Heightened security measures and disruptions to transportation and business are to be expected in major urban centers over the coming days as protests continue and the nightly curfew continue. Disruptions to internet and telecommunications services are possible amid the unrest. Clashes between protesters and security forces are likely around protest sites.

Context

Demonstrations broke out on October 1 to protest perceived government corruption, inadequate provision of public services, and a lack of job opportunities. Following weeks of relative calm, demonstrations violently resumed on October 24-25, coinciding with the deadline issued by Grand Ayatollah Sistani to the government to produce a report on who in the Iraqi Security Forces (ISF) was responsible for firing at civilians during previous demonstrations. At least 100 people have been killed and 5500 wounded in the recent week of unrest.

Advice

Individuals in Baghdad and across Iraq are advised to closely monitor the situation, avoid all protests and large public gatherings due to potential violence, prepare for disruptions to transportation and business in areas affected by anti-government demonstrations, and adhere to all instructions issued by the local authorities and their home governments.

The security environment in Iraq remains complex. Although travel is possible in some areas with proper security protocols in place, other areas should be considered strictly off-limits. Professional security advice and support should be sought prior to all travel.