24 Feb 2021 | 09:40 AM UTC
Nepal: Protests likely nationwide through at least early March /update 3
Protests likely in Nepal, especially Kathmandu, through early March ahead of resumption of parliament. Heightened security in place.
Event
Protests are likely throughout Nepal through at least early March, especially in Kathmandu, ahead of the planned reinstatement of parliament. The Supreme Court has ordered the parliament to reconvene by March 8. Prime Minister KP Sharma Oli, under criticism from opposition parties and rival factions of his own party, the Nepal Communist Party (NCP), is expected to face a vote of no confidence. Demonstrations both for and against Oli are likely to continue in the coming weeks. The largest gatherings are likely in the Kathmandu Valley, which includes Bhaktapur, Kathmandu, and Lalitpur districts. Turnout at the various demonstrations will vary significantly by location; larger demonstrations in Kathmandu may involve thousands of people. Organizers do not typically publicize demonstration details in advance; rally venues and timings are subject to change at short notice.
Security forces are on high alert and will almost certainly deploy to sensitive sites such as government buildings, political party offices, as well as rally venues, especially in Kathmandu. Clashes between police and activists could occur; authorities may try to break up more disruptive rallies. Clashes between supporters and detractors of Oli are also possible. Police have dispersed protests with water cannon and arrested protesters during some recent rallies. Localized transport disruptions are likely near well-attended demonstrations. Business disruptions are also possible, especially if violence occurs.
Context
Political protests have occurred nationwide since PM Oli proposed to dissolve parliament hours after several lawmakers filed a no-confidence motion against his government in December 2020. The decision was revoked by the Supreme Court Feb. 23. However, demonstrations are likely to continue in the medium term, with sporadic violence possible.
Advice
Avoid protests due to possible clashes. If violence breaks out nearby, take shelter in a secure, non-governmental building. Follow all security personnel instructions. Monitor trusted local news sources, as demonstrators may not announce protests in advance. Allow additional travel time near demonstrations. Confirm business appointments and transport reservations in advance.
