Chad: Election-related gatherings and unrest likely as campaigns start ahead of April 11 election /update 1

Event

Election-related gatherings, demonstrations, and bouts of violence are likely across Chad in the run-up to and immediately following the nation's April 11 presidential election. Ahead of the vote, the official campaign period will run from March 11 through April 9. COVID-19-related restrictions were eased March 9 before the start of the campaign period. President Idriss Deby Itno will be contesting eight opposition candidates for a sixth consecutive term in office.

Notable security incidents and disruptions have already occurred ahead of the polls with opposition groups calling for repeated protests to oppose Deby's plan to contest the election. Fatal violence also took place after security forces attempted to arrest opposition candidate Yaya Dillo in N'Djamena, Feb. 28. As many as five people are reported to have been killed; however, this figure remains disputed. The main opposition candidate, Saleh Kebzabo, withdrew his candidacy in the polls reportedly in response to the violent attempted arrest of Dillo. Kebzabo remains on the ballot despite the announcement of his withdrawal.

An increase in protests is likely, due to persisting opposition to Deby's leadership. Opposition activists may stage rallies in the vicinity of government and electoral agency offices. Clashes between security forces and protesters or between rival supporters are possible. Telecommunication and mobile internet outages, in relation to the upcoming vote or coinciding with unrest, are also possible in N'Djamena and other areas. Localized transport and business disruptions are possible in areas where protests or rallies are ongoing.

Advice

Avoid all election-related events, and exercise caution near election committee offices, party offices, and polling stations in the coming weeks. Seek updated information from local sources for updates on election events as organizers may not announce details in advance. If any violence erupts nearby, immediately depart the area and seek shelter at a non-governmental building. Always carry valid travel documents and heed authorities' instructions; maintain a non-confrontational stance if stopped by officials for checks. Heed all official security and transport advisories. Maintain contact with your diplomatic representation.