Mozambique: Security situation in and around Palma remains uncertain as of March 29 /update 3

Event

As of March 29, the security situation in and around Palma, Cabo Delgado Province, remains uncertain following reports that armed militants seized control of part of the town March 27. Clashes and other acts of violence since March 24 have reportedly resulted in dozens of casualties. Evacuations have continued; at least one convoy transporting civilians out of the area has been ambushed. Members of the Islamic State Central Africa Province (ISCAP) have reportedly claimed responsibility for the attack.

Security force operations in the area will almost certainly continue over the near term. Clashes between militants and the Mozambican military will likely continue. The insecurity will almost certainly continue to result in business disruptions. Total energy company has stated that operations at a nearby facility on the Afungi Peninsula will be suspended as a result of the security situation. Access to Palma by road and telecommunications will also likely be disrupted over the coming days.

Context

The violence first erupted March 24 when insurgents launched an attack on the town. Targets within Palma have included banks, the Amarula Palma Hotel, and a military installation, with some fighting having taken place in the town's central business district. Militants also blocked the road between Palma and the adjoining Afungi Peninsula, March 24.

The coastal Palma, Mocimboa da Praia, and Macomia districts are likely to remain the focus of insurgent activity through 2021. Palma is host to several large energy projects in the Afungi Peninsula and offshore fields in the Rovuma Basin. Recent attacks on larger coastal towns, including Mocimboa da Praia and Quissanga, point to increased militant intent and capability to attack larger and more complex targets, as well as confidence in their ability to gain and hold territory.

Despite this, no conventional military attacks have been carried out against facilities linked to natural gas exploitation in the area, mainly in the Afungi Peninsula. Onshore and offshore oil and gas facilities have government protection and private security force support.

Insurgent activity currently poses a severe threat to ground travel in Cabo Delgado Province, including along arterial highways through the area.

Advice

Consider deferring travel to Cabo Delgado Province until the situation stabilizes. Confirm route and destination security conditions before conducting any ground movements outside major urban centers in Cabo Delgado Province. Travel during daylight hours only and in convoy. Avoid travel along routes through the affected area. Heed instructions from security personnel. Carry proper identification at all times, and remain polite and nonconfrontational if stopped at a security checkpoint. Maintain contact with your diplomatic representation.