South Korea: Presidential election to take place nationwide March 9

Event

South Korea will hold a presidential election nationwide March 9, with the official campaign period commencing from Feb. 15. Authorities have declared March 9 a holiday to increase voter turnout; widespread government office and business closures are likely on election day. COVID-19 patients and individuals under quarantine may vote on election day 18:00-19:30 after regular polling closes.

Campaign gatherings are likely ahead of the vote, though turnout for most events may be low amid ongoing COVID-19 gathering restrictions. Officials will probably increase security near events with high-profile candidates, particularly in the capital Seoul and other major cities. Localized transport delays could occur. Most campaign events will remain largely peaceful, though minor clashes between rival activists or demonstrators and police cannot be ruled out.

Minor protests and security disturbances are possible during and after the vote, especially if there are any perceived irregularities. Political gatherings could occur after polling stations close, or once the vote results are announced. Officials will implement heightened security measures near polling places nationwide March 9. Transport disruptions may occur near polling stations during the vote.

Context

The March 9 vote will elect South Korea's 13th president, who will replace the incumbent Moon Jae-in for the next five years. Recent polls indicate a tight race between two main parties - namely ruling Democratic Party's Lee Jae-myung and the conservative People Power Party’s Yoon Suk-yeol. However, major issues concerning voters like high youth unemployment, rising income inequality and house prices, as well as the threat of North Korea have been overshadowed by scandals and personal attacks between the two candidates. The close race between the two front-runners has also raised the possibility of a third candidate, People Party's Ahn Cheol-soo, playing the role of kingmaker for the election.

Advice

Avoid all political gatherings as a precaution. Monitor local media for campaign event announcements. Plan for possible road closures, traffic congestion, and crowded public transportation during campaign events and voting, especially in Seoul and other urban areas.