Europe: Protests over conflict in Ukraine will almost certainly persist in European cities through June /update 3

Event

Protests related to the conflict in Ukraine will almost certainly persist in cities across Europe through June. Likely gathering points include Russian or Ukrainian diplomatic offices, city centers, near government buildings, or in prominent public squares. Events can attract dozens to thousands of people.

Heightened security and localized disruptions are likely near any protests that occur. Most protests are likely to conclude without significant violence. Some minor confrontations remain possible, particularly if protesters with opposing viewpoints congregate closely with one another or if demonstrators ignore police orders to disperse.

Context

Hundreds of related gatherings have occurred in cities across Europe since Russia invaded Ukraine in late February. The majority have been in support of Ukraine and opposed to Russia's military offensive. However, some pro-Russian events have occurred, including in Germany and Hungary. Demonstrations are likely to persist and may escalate in response to any significant conflict developments. The size of gatherings could also increase on prominent national days or anniversaries. Protests could also increasingly be in response to the economic impact of the conflict. While most demonstrations have been small in scale, occasional larger-scale events have occurred. Most gatherings have been peaceful to date.

Advice

Exercise caution near potential gathering sites. Avoid all demonstrations as a standard precaution and to mitigate delays. Heed instructions of local officials.