Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania: Heatwave forecast to persist over Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania through at least July 3 /update 2

Event

Forecast models indicate that the ongoing heatwave affecting the Baltic States will persist across Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania through at least July 3. Temperatures of 30-33 C (86-91 F) are forecast across most of the affected area over the coming days, before the heat begins to decrease from July 2. The oppressive heat may be punctuated by thunderstorms across parts of the affected region July 1.

As of July 1, the respective meteorological agencies have issued orange heat warnings (the middle level on a three-tier scale) across all three countries. Yellow forest fire warnings have been issued across eastern Latvia. Yellow thunderstorm warnings are in place for western Latvia and western Lithuania. Authorities will likely issue new alerts or update/rescind existing advisories as weather conditions change over the coming days.

Hazardous Conditions
The extended period of oppressive heat and dry conditions may produce ideal circumstances for wildfire growth throughout the region. Heatwaves also pose a threat to vulnerable groups - such as the elderly, children, pregnant women, and those with respiratory illnesses - due to the increased possibility of heat stroke or heat exhaustion during prolonged exposure to high temperatures. These health risks could also extend to relatively healthy individuals during significant heatwave events. In addition to significantly impacting athletes and those who work outdoors, high temperatures can cause problems for people using mass transit. The lack of air conditioning and cramped vehicles during rush hour may lead to some passengers being hospitalized for dehydration.

Transport and Utilities
Very high temperatures may warp rail tracks and force passenger and freight trains to operate at reduced speeds. Road surface damage is also possible, and overheated vehicles may worsen traffic problems in urban areas where congestion is already a problem. Commercial trucking disruptions might occur, as very high temperatures put more stress on engines, making tire blowouts more common. Major flight disruptions are unlikely at regional airports, but general aviation disruptions are possible, and some airfreight carriers could reduce cargo loads. High temperatures could lead to an increased demand for electricity, which might trigger localized brownouts or blackouts, exacerbating hazardous conditions when air conditioning is no longer possible.

Advice

Monitor local media for weather updates and related advisories. During heatwaves, remain indoors in air conditioning when possible. If outdoor activities are necessary, frequently rest in shaded areas; avoid activity during the hottest times of the day. Stay well-hydrated by drinking plenty of fluids. Avoid alcoholic beverages, which are dehydrating; drink water that is bottled or has been boiled. Wear loose-fitting, light-colored clothing. Cotton fabrics are more cooling than synthetics. Promptly seek medical attention if signs of heat exhaustion or heat stroke develop. Charge battery-powered devices in case prolonged electricity outages occur.

Resources

MeteoAlarm
Estonian Environment Agency
Latvian Environment, Geology and Meteorology Agency (Latvian)
Lithuanian Hydrometeorological Service (Lithuanian)