Chad: Protests and increased security likely nationwide Aug. 20 amid scheduled Inclusive National Dialogue in N'Djamena /update 1

Event

Protests and increased security are likely nationwide in conjunction with the Inclusive National Dialogue slated to begin at the Palais du 15 janvier in N'Djamena Aug. 20. Activists gathered earlier in the capital Aug. 19 despite a protest ban issued by the Ministry of Public Security. Les Transformateurs party has called for nationwide demonstrations Aug. 20. In N’Djamena, participants will gather from 06:00 at their respective organization or party, as well as at the Balcon de l'Espoir, and will march towards Palais du 15 janvier. Outside the capital, gathering locations include governorate, prefecture, and sub-prefecture buildings. Organizers have not announced specific times or march itineraries; participants will likely gather from 06:00. It remains unclear whether permission has been granted for the Aug. 20 gatherings.

An increase in security presence is likely around all protests and the national dialogue. Security personnel may engage in strong crowd control measures, and clashes between demonstrators and police are possible. The events will likely cause localized disruptions to vehicular and pedestrian traffic. Local businesses may shutter before the demonstrations. Activists may organize further protests with little or no warning after the outcome of the national dialogue is made public.

Context

Activist groups are denouncing the lack of civic participation in the national dialogue and are calling for the immediate return to civilian rule through democratic elections. The Transitional Military Council (TMC) has taken a strong stance against opposition demonstrators; a ban on protest activity has been in effect since April 2021.

Chad's political and security environment remains unstable following the April 20, 2021 death of longtime President Idriss Deby Itno. The appointment of the late president's son, Mahamat Deby Itno, as the head of the TMC, along with an 18-month transition period, the suspension of the constitution, and the National Assembly, sparked nationwide protests against the transitional government. The transitional government has suppressed opposition groups from peacefully demonstrating, and security forces have been accused of human rights abuses associated with the use of excessive force against protesters.

While recent demonstrations have been mostly peaceful, violence has impacted some gatherings. During a May 2022 protest, which had been called to demand a return to civilian rule, widespread disruptions occurred, as well as damage to French company Total’s filling stations amid rumors that France planned to install new military bases in the country. The protests degenerated into clashes leaving at least 12 police officers injured.

Advice

Avoid all demonstrations and heed the instructions of local authorities. Consult with trusted local sources for updated information on any protests as organizers may not announce gatherings in advance. Keep away from areas where crowds appear to be forming or security personnel are deploying. If clashes erupt nearby, exit the area immediately; if unable to do so, take refuge in a secure non-governmental building.