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28 Aug 2022 | 09:27 AM UTC

Guinea: Opposition activists cancel planned protests in Conakry on Aug. 29 and Sept. 4 but maintain nationwide Sept. 5 action /update 1

Opposition activists in Guinea cancel planned protests in Conakry on Aug. 29 and Sept. 4 but maintain nationwide Sept. 5 action.

Informational

Event

The National Front for the Defense of the Constitution (FNDC) has canceled plans to demonstrate in Conakry Aug. 29 and Sept. 4, following a request from the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) and Christian groups in the country. The FNDC has indicated that a planned nationwide demonstration on Sept. 5 is still scheduled; precise demonstration times and locations are unclear. The FNDC plans to protest against Guinea's ruling junta.

Mediation efforts by local and regional bodies may lead to further amendments to the opposition's protest plans. The FNDC may also announce new protest dates in the coming days. Clashes with security forces are likely should any protest materialize and if demonstrators ignore police orders to disperse. Localized transport and business disruptions are likely near demonstrations.

Context

In recent weeks, the FNDC has led several demonstrations against the ruling junta, the National Committee of Reconciliation and Development (CNRD). The CNRD has reacted by banning gatherings until the start of the election cycle, likely in 2025. The CNRD warned that those violating the order would face legal consequences. Opposition parties and human rights groups have denounced the measure as illegal. Moreover, on Aug. 8, the CNRD publicly released the text of a decree dated two days earlier dissolving the FNDC; however, the opposition coalition apparently has no intent to comply with the order. Political tensions will almost certainly remain elevated in the coming months.

Advice

Avoid all demonstrations as a standard precaution. Keep away from any locations where crowds appear to be forming or security personnel deploying. Leave the area at the first sign of any security disturbance. Heed the instructions of local authorities. Plan accordingly for protest-related traffic disruptions, particularly in Conakry where demonstrations may draw large crowds. Reconfirm all business appointments.