Guinea: Oppositionists to resume protest activity with nationwide demonstrations on Aug. 17

Event

The National Front for the Defense of the Constitution (FNDC), an opposition coalition comprised of several political parties, labor unions, and civil society organizations, plans to renew its campaign of protests against Guinea's ruling junta following a brief truce. The FNDC initially plans to stage demonstrations across the country on Aug. 17, despite a nationwide ban on protest activity. Additional gatherings could materialize with little-to-no notice over the coming days, particularly in view of a recent government decree abolishing the FNDC.

Authorities will likely deploy additional security personnel in an effort to prevent protests from taking place. Clashes with security forces are likely should any protest materialize and if demonstrators ignore police orders to disperse. Localized transport and business disruptions are likely near demonstrations.

Context

The National Committee of Reconciliation and Development (CNRD) announced a ban on gatherings from May 13 until the start of the election cycle, likely in 2025. The CNRD warned that those violating the order would face legal consequences. Opposition parties and human rights groups have denounced the measure as illegal. Moreover, on Aug. 8, the CNRD publicly released the text of a decree dated two days earlier dissolving the FNDC; however, the opposition coalition apparently has no intent to comply with the order. Political tensions will almost certainly remain elevated in the coming months.

Advice

Avoid all demonstrations as a standard precaution. Keep away from any locations where crowds appear to be forming or security personnel deploying. Leave the area at the first sign of any security disturbance. Heed the instructions of local authorities. Plan accordingly for protest-related traffic disruptions, particularly in Conakry where demonstrations may draw large crowds.