Guinea: Opposition activists postpone nationwide protests planned Oct. 26 /update 2

Event

The National Front for the Defense of the Constitution (FNDC), an opposition coalition comprised of several political parties, labor unions, and civil society organizations, has postponed nationwide protests initially scheduled Oct. 26 to protest Guinea's ruling junta. The FNDC cited the death of five protesters during a rally in Conakry Oct. 20 and alleged the government allowed security forces to commit the violence. Organizers have not provided a date for the next gathering.

Spontaneous gatherings cannot be ruled, notably in Conakry. Authorities may deploy additional security personnel in an effort to prevent protests from taking place. Clashes with security forces are likely should any protest materialize and if demonstrators ignore police orders to disperse. Localized transport and business disruptions are likely near demonstrations.

Context

The National Committee of Reconciliation and Development (CNRD) announced a ban on gatherings from May 13 until the start of the election cycle. The CNRD warned that those violating the order would face legal consequences. Opposition parties and human rights groups have denounced the measure as illegal. Moreover, on Aug. 8, the CNRD publicly released the text of a decree dated two days earlier dissolving the FNDC; however, the opposition coalition apparently has no intent to comply with the order. Related protests were held throughout August and September. Political tensions will almost certainly remain elevated in the coming months despite the CDNR’s agreement with the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) Oct. 21 to hold elections in early 2025.

Advice

Avoid all demonstrations as a standard precaution. Keep away from any locations where crowds appear to be forming or security personnel deploying. Leave the area at the first sign of any security disturbance. Heed the instructions of local authorities. Plan accordingly for protest-related traffic disruptions, particularly in Conakry where demonstrations may draw large crowds. Reconfirm all business appointments.