17 Oct 2022 | 08:13 AM UTC
Guinea: Opposition activists to protest in Conakry Oct. 20 and nationwide Oct. 26 /update 1
Opposition activists to protest in Conakry, Guinea, Oct. 20 and nationwide Oct. 26. Tight security, disruptions likely. Violence possible.
Event
The National Front for the Defense of the Constitution (FNDC), an opposition coalition comprised of several political parties, labor unions, and civil society organizations, plans to protest Guinea's ruling junta Oct. 20 and 26. The FNDC initially planned to stage demonstrations in the Greater Conakry area Oct. 18 but eventually postponed it to Oct. 20 to coincide with the national dialogue. Protest marches will also take place nationwide Oct. 26. The exact time and locations for the demonstrations remain unclear. FNDC leaders plan to carry out the protests despite a nationwide ban on protest activity.
Authorities will likely deploy additional security personnel in an effort to prevent protests from taking place. Clashes with security forces are likely should any protest materialize and if demonstrators ignore police orders to disperse. Localized transport and business disruptions are likely near demonstrations.
Context
The National Committee of Reconciliation and Development (CNRD) announced a ban on gatherings from May 13 until the start of the election cycle, likely in 2025. The CNRD warned that those violating the order would face legal consequences. Opposition parties and human rights groups have denounced the measure as illegal. Moreover, on Aug. 8, the CNRD publicly released the text of a decree dated two days earlier dissolving the FNDC; however, the opposition coalition apparently has no intent to comply with the order. Related protests were held throughout August and September. Political tensions will almost certainly remain elevated in the coming months.
Advice
Avoid all demonstrations as a standard precaution. Keep away from any locations where crowds appear to be forming or security personnel deploying. Leave the area at the first sign of any security disturbance. Heed the instructions of local authorities. Plan accordingly for protest-related traffic disruptions, particularly in Conakry where demonstrations may draw large crowds. Reconfirm all business appointments.
