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10 Oct 2022 | 06:46 AM UTC

New Zealand: Adverse weather forecast over most of South Island through at least Oct. 11

Heavy rainfall and strong winds forecast across most of South Island, New Zealand through Oct. 11. Flooding and disruptions possible.

Warning

Event

Heavy rainfall and strong winds are forecast across most of South Island through at least Oct. 11. A front is forecast to track northwards over the South Island Oct. 10 before becoming slow-moving over the southern North Island Oct. 11, bringing heavy rain to the western part of South Island and gales over central and southern New Zealand.

As of Oct. 10, the New Zealand National Meteorological Service (MetService) has issued the following weather warnings:

  • Orange (middle level on a three-tier scale) Heavy Rain Warning: headwaters of the Canterbury lakes and rivers south of Arthur's Pass, headwaters of the Otago lakes and rivers, and the ranges of Westland south of Otira. Up to 14 cm (5.5 inches) of rain is forecast.

  • Orange Strong Wind Warning: Canterbury High Country and Fiordland.

  • Yellow Heavy Rain Watch: Buller, Fiordland north of Doubtful Sound, and Tasman west of Motueka.

  • Yellow Strong Wind Watch: Marlborough Sounds, Otago, Southland, Wairarapa about and south of Featherston, and Wellington.

Authorities will likely issue new alerts or update/rescind existing advisories as weather conditions change over the coming days.

Hazardous Conditions
Sustained heavy rainfall could trigger flooding in low-lying communities near rivers, streams, and creeks. Urban flooding is also possible in developed areas with easily overwhelmed or lack of stormwater drainage systems. Sites located downstream from large reservoirs or rivers may be subject to flash flooding after relatively short periods of intense rainfall. Landslides are possible in hilly or mountainous areas, especially where the soil has become saturated by heavy rainfall. Power outages could occur throughout the affected area.

Transport
Floodwaters and debris flows may render some bridges, rail networks, or roadways impassable, impacting overland travel in and around affected areas. Ponding on road surfaces could cause hazardous driving conditions on regional highways. Authorities could temporarily close some low-lying routes that become inundated by floodwaters. The disruptive weather may cause delays and cancellations at airports across the affected region. Authorities may temporarily suspend port operations if strong winds trigger hazardous sea conditions, impacting freight and passenger maritime traffic. Flooding could block regional rail lines; freight cancellations are possible in areas with heavy rainfall and potential track blockages.

Disruptions triggered by inclement weather and resultant hazards, such as flooding, could persist well after conditions have improved - it could take days before any floodwaters recede and/or officials clear debris. If there is severe damage to infrastructure, repair or reconstruction efforts may result in residual disruptions.

Advice

Monitor local media for weather updates and related advisories. Confirm all transport reservations and business appointments before travel. Make allowances for localized travel delays and potential supply chain disruptions where flooding has been forecast. Do not drive on flooded roads. Charge battery-powered devices in the case of prolonged electricity outages.

Resources

New Zealand National Meteorological Service