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18 Nov 2022 | 09:28 AM UTC

New Zealand: Adverse weather forecast over eastern parts of South Island through at least Nov. 20

Severe weather forecast over eastern parts of South Island, New Zealand, through Nov. 20. Possible flooding and associated disruptions.

Warning

Event

Heavy rainfall is forecast across parts of eastern South Island through at least early Nov. 20. A low pressure system moving in from the Tasman Sea is expected to bring up to 10 cm (4 inches) of rainfall to parts of the affected area. Heavy downpours could cause river levels to rise and trigger flooding as well as disruptions to transport due to ponding on road surfaces.

As of Nov. 18, the New Zealand National Meteorological Service (MetService) has issued the following weather warnings:

  • Orange (the middle level on a three-tier scale) Heavy Rain Warning: Canterbury and North Otago.

  • Yellow Heavy Rain Watch: Dunedin and the Kaikoura coast and ranges.

Authorities will likely issue new alerts or update/rescind existing advisories as weather conditions change over the coming days.

Hazardous Conditions
Sustained heavy rainfall could trigger flooding in low-lying communities near rivers, streams, and creeks. Urban flooding is also possible in developed areas with easily overwhelmed or lack of stormwater drainage systems. Sites located downstream from large reservoirs or rivers may be subject to flash flooding after relatively short periods of intense rainfall. Landslides are possible in hilly or mountainous areas, especially where the soil has become saturated by heavy rainfall. Power outages could occur throughout the affected area.

Transport
Floodwaters and debris flows may render some bridges, rail networks, or roadways impassable, impacting overland travel in and around affected areas. Ponding on road surfaces could cause hazardous driving conditions on regional highways. Authorities could temporarily close some low-lying routes that become inundated by floodwaters. The disruptive weather may cause delays and cancellations at regional airports. Authorities may temporarily suspend port operations if strong winds trigger hazardous sea conditions, impacting freight and passenger maritime traffic. Flooding could block regional rail lines; freight cancellations are possible in areas with heavy rainfall and potential track blockages.

Disruptions triggered by inclement weather and resultant hazards, such as flooding, could persist well after conditions have improved - it could take days before any floodwaters recede and/or officials clear debris. If there is severe damage to infrastructure, repair or reconstruction efforts may result in residual disruptions.

Advice

Monitor local media for weather updates and related advisories. Confirm all transport reservations and business appointments before travel. Make allowances for localized travel delays and potential supply chain disruptions where flooding has been forecast. Do not drive on flooded roads. Charge battery-powered devices in the case of prolonged electricity outages.

Resources

New Zealand National Meteorological Service