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19 May 2023 | 02:55 PM UTC

Mexico: Adverse weather conditions forecast across much of the country through at least May 22

Severe weather forecast across much of Mexico through at least May 22. Possible disruptions due to flooding, strong winds, and tornadoes.

Warning

Event

Adverse weather conditions are forecast across much of Mexico through at least May 22. A cold front is expected to move over northern Mexico May 19-22, bringing showers, thunderstorms, strong winds, hail, and possible tornadoes to northeastern regions. Other weather systems are forecast to bring further showers and storms to parts of eastern, southern, and western Mexico on May 19 and parts of central, northern, southeastern, and western Mexico May 20-22. High temperatures are forecast to persist across western regions along the Pacific coast, southeastern regions, and the Yucatan Peninsula over the coming days.

Rainfall totals of 7.5-15 cm (3-6 inches) are expected in parts of Coahuila, Nuevo Leon, and Tamaulipas states on May 20, and totals of 5-7.5 cm (2-3 inches) are forecast in parts of San Luis Potosi May 19-21, Guanajuato, Queretaro, and Zacatecas May 19, Chiapas May 20-22, Tabasco May 20, Hidalgo, Nuevo Leon, and Tamaulipas May 21, and Coahuila, Puebla, and Veracruz May 22. The heavy downpours could trigger flooding in low-lying areas and landslides on unstable slopes. Strong winds gusting up to 80 kph (50 mph) accompanied by possible tornadoes are forecast in parts of Coahuila, Nuevo Leon, and Tamaulipas May 19-20, Chihuahua May 19, and San Luis Potosi May 20. Temperatures of over 40 C (104 F) are expected in western and southeastern regions, including the Yucatan Peninsula, through May 22.

Sustained heavy rainfall could trigger flooding in low-lying communities near rivers, streams, and creeks. Urban flooding is also possible in developed areas with easily overwhelmed stormwater drainage systems. Sites located downstream from large reservoirs or rivers may be subject to flash flooding after relatively short periods of intense rainfall. Landslides are possible in hilly or mountainous areas, especially where heavy rainfall has saturated the soil.

Authorities could issue mandatory evacuation orders for flood-prone communities over the coming days and tornado warnings advising the public to shelter in place. Disruptions to electricity and telecommunications services are possible where severe weather impacts utility networks.

The severe weather will likely contribute to transport disruptions throughout affected regions. Floodwaters and debris flows may render some bridges, rail networks, or roadways impassable, impacting overland travel in and around affected areas. Ponding on road surfaces could cause hazardous driving conditions on regional highways. Authorities could temporarily close some low-lying routes that become inundated by floodwaters.

Severe weather will also likely trigger flight delays and cancellations at airports across the affected region. Flooding could block regional rail lines; freight and passenger train delays and cancellations are likely in areas with heavy rainfall and potential track inundation.

Localized business disruptions may occur in flood- or tornado-hit areas; some businesses might not operate at full capacity because of damage to facilities, possible evacuations, and some employees' inability to reach work sites.

Advice

Monitor local media for updated emergency and weather information. Seek updated information on weather and road conditions before driving or routing shipments through areas where severe weather is forecast. Plan accordingly for potential delivery delays if routing shipments by truck through the affected area. Do not attempt to drive through flooded areas. Confirm flights. Charge battery-powered devices in the case of prolonged electricity outages.

Resources

Mexican National Meteorological Service (SMN)