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19 May 2023 | 09:18 AM UTC

New Zealand: Adverse weather forecast over much of North Island and northwestern South Island through at least May 21 /update 3

Severe weather forecast over parts of North Island and South Island, New Zealand, through May 21. Flooding and disruptions possible.

Warning

Event

Severe weather is forecast over much of North Island and parts of northwestern South Island through at least May 21. A low-pressure system west of North Island May 19 is expected to move over southern North Island on May 20, bringing heavy downpours and strong winds to the affected areas. Flooding is possible in low-lying areas following periods of intense rainfall, as well as landslides on unstable slopes. Strong winds could cause property damage and power outages.

As of May 18, the Meteorological Service of New Zealand (MetService) has issued the following watches and warnings across the affected area:

  • Orange Heavy Rain Warning (the middle level on a three-tier scale): Tasman west of Motueka.

  • Yellow Heavy Rain Watch: Tongariro National Park and Mount Taranaki.

  • Yellow Strong Wind Watch: Northland; Auckland including Great Barrier Island; the Coromandel Peninsula; Waikato, Waitomo, and Bay of Plenty west of Te Puke; Gisborne; Taumarunui, Taupo, Taihape, Whanganui, Manawatu, and Hawke's Bay; and Taranaki.

Authorities will likely issue new alerts or update/rescind existing advisories as weather conditions change over the coming days.

Hazardous Conditions
Sustained heavy rainfall could trigger flooding in low-lying communities near rivers, streams, and creeks. Urban flooding is also possible in developed areas with easily overwhelmed or a lack of stormwater drainage systems. Sites located downstream from large reservoirs or rivers may be subject to flash flooding after relatively short periods of intense rainfall. Landslides are possible in hilly or mountainous areas, especially where heavy rainfall has saturated the soil. Additional power outages are possible in areas impacted by the weather system.

Transport
Floodwaters and debris flows may render some bridges, rail networks, or roadways impassable, impacting overland travel in and around affected areas. Ponding on road surfaces could cause hazardous driving conditions on regional highways. Authorities could temporarily close some low-lying routes that become inundated by floodwaters. The disruptive weather may cause additional delays and cancellations at regional airports. Flooding could block regional rail lines; freight cancellations are possible in areas subject to heavy rainfall and track blockages.

Disruptions triggered by inclement weather and resultant hazards, such as flooding, could persist well after weather conditions have improved; it could take days before any floodwaters recede and/or officials clear debris. If there is severe damage to infrastructure, repair or reconstruction efforts may result in residual disruptions.

Advice

Monitor local media for weather updates and related advisories. Confirm all transport reservations and business appointments before travel. Make allowances for localized travel delays and potential supply chain disruptions where flooding has been forecast or reported. Do not drive on flooded roads. Charge battery-powered devices in the case of prolonged electricity outages.

Resources

Meteorological Service of New Zealand
NZ Transport Agency