Eastern Mediterranean: High temperatures forecast to persist across Cyprus and parts of the Middle East through at least July 17

Event

High temperatures are forecast across the eastern Mediterranean through at least July 17. A heatwave currently also affecting parts of southern Europe and Turkey is spreading over the region as of July 14 and high temperatures will persist in many areas July 15-16 before a slight drop from July 17. The affected areas include Cyprus, Israel, Jordan, Lebanon, the Palestinian Territories, and Syria. Maximum temperatures of up to around 45 C (113 F) are possible in parts of the region, with temperatures also remaining well above 20 C (68 F) at night across much of the affected area.

Cyprus's Department of Meteorology has issued an orange extreme high-temperature warning (the middle level on a three-tier scale) on July 14. Temperatures of up to 43 C (109 F) are forecast in interior parts of the island and 32-37 C (90-99 F) across much of the rest of Cyprus. The high temperatures are expected to persist July 15-16 before a slight cooling from July 17.

As of July 14, the Israel Meteorological Service has issued orange heavy heat stress warnings for northern and eastern valley areas and southern desert areas of Israel and the West Bank. Yellow warnings are in place across much of the rest of Israel and the West Bank. Orange and yellow elevated forest fire warnings are also in place across the northern and eastern valley and mountain regions.

The Jordanian Meteorological Department has warned of hot and dry conditions across most regions July 14, with very hot conditions expected in the Jordan Valley, around the Dead Sea, and Aqaba. Temperatures of 44 C (111 F) are possible in Aqaba July 14-15, as well as highs of 35-40 C (95-104 F) across much of the rest of the country.

The Lebanon Meteorological Service has forecast a notable rise in temperatures, especially in interior regions, peaking July 14. A rise in humidity in coastal areas will increase the feeling of heat stress in these areas. The service has warned of an increased risk of forest fires and advises people to avoid direct exposure to sunlight during the warmest periods of the day and to drink plenty of fluids. Interior regions could reach 40 C (104 F) July 14 and 38 C (100 F) July 15, before a slight drop in temperatures. July 16-17; however, temperatures will remain above the seasonal average during this period.

The Syrian Meteorological Department has warned that temperatures are expected to rise to around 5-7 C (9-13 F) above the seasonal average over the coming days. Temperatures of up to 45 C (113 F) are possible in eastern desert areas, and highs of around 34-39 C (93-102 F) are likely across much of the rest of the country.

Officials could update and possibly extend the coverage of weather alerts over the coming days.

The high temperatures may result in increased energy and water demand and a heightened risk of heat-related illnesses, such as heat exhaustion and heat stroke.

Hazardous Conditions
The extended period of oppressive heat and dry conditions may produce ideal circumstances for wildfire growth throughout the region. Heatwaves also pose a threat to vulnerable groups - such as the elderly, children, pregnant women, and those with respiratory illnesses - due to the increased possibility of heat stroke or heat exhaustion during prolonged exposure to high temperatures. These health risks could also extend to relatively healthy individuals during significant heatwave events.

Transport and Utilities
Very high temperatures may warp rail tracks and force passenger and freight trains to operate at reduced speeds. Road surface damage is also possible, and overheated vehicles may worsen traffic problems in urban areas where congestion is already a problem. Commercial trucking disruptions might occur as very high temperatures stress vehicles, making tire blowouts more common. Major flight disruptions are unlikely, but general aviation disruptions are possible, and some airfreight carriers could reduce cargo loads. High temperatures could lead to an increased demand for electricity, which might trigger localized brownouts or blackouts, exacerbating hazardous conditions when air conditioning is no longer possible.

Advice

Monitor local media for weather updates and related advisories. During heat waves, remain indoors in air conditioning when possible. If outdoor activities are necessary, frequently rest in shaded areas; avoid activity during the hottest times of the day. Stay well hydrated by drinking plenty of fluids. Avoid alcoholic beverages, which are dehydrating - drink bottled water or water that has been boiled. Wear loose-fitting, light-colored clothing. Cotton fabrics are more cooling than synthetics. Promptly seek medical attention if signs of heat exhaustion or heat stroke develop. Charge battery-powered devices in case prolonged electricity outages occur.

Resources

Cyprus Department of Meteorology
Israel Meteorological Service
Jordanian Meteorological Department
Lebanon Meteorological Service