Eastern Mediterranean: High temperatures forecast to persist across Cyprus and parts of the Middle East through at least July 19 /update 1

Event

High temperatures are forecast across territories around the eastern Mediterranean through at least July 19. A heatwave currently also affecting parts of southern Europe will persist in the region over the coming days. The affected areas include Cyprus, Egypt, Israel, Jordan, Lebanon, the Palestinian Territories, and Syria. Maximum temperatures of up to around 45 C (113 F) are possible in parts of the region, with temperatures also remaining well above 20 C (68 F) at night across much of the affected area.

As of July 17, Cyprus's Department of Meteorology has issued a yellow extreme high-temperature warning (the middle level on a three-tier scale) across the country. Temperatures of up to 41 C (106 F) are forecast in interior parts of the island and 32-37 C (90-99 F) across coastal and mountainous areas. Red forest fire warnings (the highest level) are also in place across Cyprus.

The Egyptian Meteorological Authority has forecast that the ongoing heatwave in the country will last through at least July 19. Temperatures of up to 45 C (113 F) are possible in southern desert regions and highs of 32-37 C (90-99 F) are expected across much of the rest of the country.

The Israel Meteorological Service has issued orange heavy heat stress warnings (the middle level on a three-tier scale) across Israel and the West Bank Jully 17. Orange and yellow elevated forest fire warnings are also in place in northern and eastern parts of Israel and the West Bank.

The Jordanian Meteorological Department has forecast a slight drop in temperatures from the extreme heat witnessed in previous days; however, conditions are still likely to remain hot for the time of year, especially in the Jordan Valley, around the Dead Sea, and Aqaba. Temperatures of 44 C (111 F) are possible in Aqaba, as well as highs of 32-39 C (90-102 F) across much of the rest of the country.

The Lebanon Meteorological Service has warned that above average temperatures are likely to continue across most of the country over the coming days and an increase in humidity will compound the heat stress. The service has warned of an increased risk of forest fires and advises people to avoid direct exposure to sunlight during the warmest periods of the day and to drink plenty of fluids. Temperatures of up to 39 C (102 F) are forecast in interior regions July 17-18, and highs of around 29-34 (84-93 F) are likely in coastal areas.

The Syrian Meteorological Department has warned that temperatures are expected to rise to around 3-7 C (5-13 F) above the seasonal average over the coming days. Temperatures of up to 45 C (113 F) are possible in eastern desert areas, and highs of around 33-42 C (91-108 F) are likely across much of the rest of the country. Dozens of wildfires have broken out across parts of central, northwestern, and western Syria in recent days amid the hot and dry conditions, resulting in at least two fatalities. Further fires are likely due to the persistent heat.

Officials could update and possibly extend the coverage of weather alerts over the coming days.

The high temperatures may result in increased energy and water demand and a heightened risk of heat-related illnesses, such as heat exhaustion and heat stroke.

Hazardous Conditions
The extended period of oppressive heat and dry conditions may produce ideal circumstances for wildfire growth throughout the region. Heatwaves also pose a threat to vulnerable groups - such as the elderly, children, pregnant women, and those with respiratory illnesses - due to the increased possibility of heat stroke or heat exhaustion during prolonged exposure to high temperatures. These health risks could also extend to relatively healthy individuals during significant heatwave events.

Transport and Utilities
Very high temperatures may warp rail tracks and force passenger and freight trains to operate at reduced speeds. Road surface damage is also possible, and overheated vehicles may worsen traffic problems in urban areas where congestion is already a problem. Commercial trucking disruptions might occur as very high temperatures stress vehicles, making tire blowouts more common. Major flight disruptions are unlikely, but general aviation disruptions are possible, and some airfreight carriers could reduce cargo loads. High temperatures could lead to an increased demand for electricity, which might trigger localized brownouts or blackouts, exacerbating hazardous conditions when air conditioning is no longer possible.

Advice

Monitor local media for weather updates and related advisories. During heat waves, remain indoors in air conditioning when possible. If outdoor activities are necessary, frequently rest in shaded areas; avoid activity during the hottest times of the day. Stay well hydrated by drinking plenty of fluids. Avoid alcoholic beverages, which are dehydrating - drink bottled water or water that has been boiled. Wear loose-fitting, light-colored clothing. Cotton fabrics are more cooling than synthetics. Promptly seek medical attention if signs of heat exhaustion or heat stroke develop. Charge battery-powered devices in case prolonged electricity outages occur.

Resources

Cyprus Department of Meteorology
Israel Meteorological Service
Jordanian Meteorological Department
Lebanon Meteorological Service