Eastern Mediterranean: High temperatures forecast to persist across Cyprus, Turkiye, and parts of the Middle East through at least July 29 /update 3

Event

High temperatures are forecast across territories around the eastern Mediterranean through at least July 29. The affected areas include Cyprus, Egypt, Israel, Jordan, Lebanon, the Palestinian Territories, Syria, and Turkiye. The ongoing heatwave that has been impacting the region in recent days is forecast to peak July 26-27, before slightly cooler temperatures begin to prevail across the region July 28-29. Maximum temperatures of up to around 46 C (115 F) are possible in parts of the region, with temperatures also remaining well above 20 C (68 F) at night across much of the affected area.

As of July 24, Cyprus' Department of Meteorology has issued a yellow extreme high-temperature warning (the middle level on a three-tier scale) across the country. Temperatures of up to 41 C (106 F) are forecast in interior parts of the island and 33-39 C (91-102 F) across coastal and mountainous areas.

The Egyptian Meteorological Authority has forecast that the ongoing heatwave in the country will last through at least July 28. Temperatures of up to 46 C (115 F) are possible in southern regions as well as highs of up to 42 C (108 F) in Cairo, 45 C (113 F) in the Sinai Peninsula, and 36 C (97 F) in coastal regions.

The Israel Meteorological Service has issued orange heavy heat stress warnings (the middle level on a three-tier scale) across most of Israel and the West Bank, with some yellow heat stress warnings in northern Israel. Orange elevated forest fire warnings are also in place in northeastern parts of Israel and yellow warnings for parts of the West Bank.

The Jordanian Meteorological Department has warned of temperatures around 4-5 C (7-9 C) above the average for the time of year across much of the country, with the hottest conditions likely in the Jordan Valley, around the Dead Sea, Aqaba, and in northwestern regions. Temperatures of 45 C (113 F) are possible in Aqaba, as well as highs of 32-39 C (90-102 F) across much of the rest of the country.

The Lebanon Meteorological Service has warned that temperatures will likely peak July 26-27, with temperatures rising to around 3-4 C (5-7 F) above the average for the time of year. The service has warned of an increased risk of forest fires and advises people to avoid direct exposure to sunlight during the warmest periods of the day and to drink plenty of fluids. Temperatures of up to 39 C (102 F) are forecast in interior regions, and highs of around 31-34 (88-93 F) are likely in coastal areas.

The Syrian Meteorological Department has warned that temperatures of up to 6 C (11 F) above the seasonal average over the coming days. Temperatures of up to 45 C (113 F) are possible in eastern desert areas, and highs of around 31-40 C (88-104 F) are likely across much of the rest of the country.

The Turkish General Directorate of Meteorology has warned that temperatures will increase in western regions from July 25 and across much of the country July 26-27, before a perceptible diminishing of the heat occurs from late July 27-29. Temperatures of around 5-10 C (9-18 F) above the seasonal average are likely in the Aegean, Central Anatolian, Marmara, and Mediterranean regions, and around 2-6 C (4-11 F) above average across most of the rest of Turkiye. Highs of up to 42 C (108 F) are possible in parts of Antalya and Edirne provinces over the coming days.

Officials could update and possibly extend the coverage of weather alerts over the coming days.

The high temperatures may result in increased energy and water demand and a heightened risk of heat-related illnesses, such as heat exhaustion and heat stroke.

Hazardous Conditions
The extended period of oppressive heat and dry conditions may produce ideal circumstances for wildfire growth throughout the region. Heatwaves also pose a threat to vulnerable groups - such as the elderly, children, pregnant women, and those with respiratory illnesses - due to the increased possibility of heat stroke or heat exhaustion during prolonged exposure to high temperatures. These health risks could also extend to relatively healthy individuals during significant heatwave events.

Transport and Utilities
Very high temperatures may warp rail tracks and force passenger and freight trains to operate at reduced speeds. Road surface damage is also possible, and overheated vehicles may worsen traffic problems in urban areas where congestion is already a problem. Commercial trucking disruptions might occur as very high temperatures stress vehicles, making tire blowouts more common. Major flight disruptions are unlikely, but general aviation disruptions are possible, and some airfreight carriers could reduce cargo loads. High temperatures could lead to an increased demand for electricity, which might trigger localized brownouts or blackouts, exacerbating hazardous conditions when air conditioning is no longer possible.

Advice

Monitor local media for weather updates and related advisories. During heat waves, remain indoors in air conditioning when possible. If outdoor activities are necessary, frequently rest in shaded areas; avoid activity during the hottest times of the day. Stay well hydrated by drinking plenty of fluids. Avoid alcoholic beverages, which are dehydrating - drink bottled water or water that has been boiled. Wear loose-fitting, light-colored clothing. Cotton fabrics are more cooling than synthetics. Promptly seek medical attention if signs of heat exhaustion or heat stroke develop. Charge battery-powered devices in case prolonged electricity outages occur.

Resources

Cyprus Department of Meteorology
Israel Meteorological Service
Jordanian Meteorological Department
Lebanon Meteorological Service
Turkiye General Directorate of Meteorology