India: Further post-election-related rallies likely across West Bengal State through late July /update 3

Event

Additional post-election-related rallies are likely across West Bengal State through late July to denounce the recent violence and alleged irregularities that occurred during the July 8 rural (panchayat) elections. On July 18, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) held a demonstration along Kolkata's Rani Rasmani Avenue. On July 21, BJP leaders plan to gather outside Block Development Officer (BDO) government buildings in every district statewide; organizers may reportedly block (gherao) the offices. Additional gatherings by other political parties and activist groups are likely over the coming days. Potential gathering sites include prominent government buildings, press clubs, sports grounds, public squares, and thoroughfares. Participation will vary by locale and sponsoring political group.

Authorities will likely monitor any such rallies and may move to disperse overly disruptive crowds. Officials may implement additional enhanced measures, such as roadblocks and/or temporary telecommunication restrictions, as standard precautions or in the event of significant violence. Further clashes between police and activists, as well as among supporters of opposing rival political camps, cannot be ruled out. Demonstrators may march along or block roadways, prompting localized transport disruptions. Localized business disruptions are possible.

Context

For several years, local elections in West Bengal have been plagued by low-level clashes and other forms of violence. In 2013, officials deployed security personnel at every polling station in the state. Related disruptions occurred as several activist groups claimed allegations of political malpractices by the ruling party following the vote count. In 2018, widespread violence occurred over similar claims of obstruction of nomination paperwork. The current electoral period does not necessarily indicate an escalation in regional security risks, which remain high.

Advice

Exercise a high degree of caution if operating in or near West Bengal through at least mid-July. Monitor local sources for election rally announcements; avoid all such events as a standard security precaution. Keep away from any political protests that may materialize; depart the area at the first sign of any security disturbance. Plan accordingly for associated localized transport and business disruptions. Heed all official transport and security advisories.