26 Oct 2023 | 12:44 PM UTC
Nigeria: Protests possible nationwide through at least late November after tribunal upheld President Tinubu victory Oct. 26 /update 3
Protests possible across Nigeria through at least late November after tribunal rejects challenges and confirms Tinubu President Oct. 26.
Protests are possible nationwide through at least late November amid election challenges and elevated political tensions. The opposition has challenged the outcome of the Feb. 25 presidential election. On Oct. 26, the Supreme Court rejected two presidential challenges by Atiku Abubakar (Peoples Democratic Party, PDP) and Peter Obi (Labour Party, LP), and upheld the victory of President Bola Tinubu (All Progressive Congress, APC). The results of the March. 18 governorship elections are also currently challenged across various states.
Since the elections, several political and civil society groups have carried out frequent gatherings across the country to denounce the results. In Kano State, officials imposed a 24-hour curfew in late September amid elevated tensions after an election tribunal nullified the governorship victory of the opposition. Other states may take similar measures to prevent or in the event of violence.
Heightened security is likely near all gatherings denouncing the court's decision and during state tribunals on ruling days. Other possible gathering locations include electoral commission buildings. Demonstrators may march along or block roadways, prompting localized transport disruptions. Clashes between police and activists are possible. Clashes involving rival political groups may also occur.
Remain apprised of the political situation. Avoid discussing political topics in public. Keep away from all demonstrations and any areas where security personnel are deploying. Do not drive through protest roadblocks. Leave the area at the first sign of a security disturbance. Strictly heed the instructions of local authorities.
Tinubu has won a tight electoral race to succeed Muhammadu Buhari from the same party. Observers, including the EU mission, and the main opposition parties, including the presidential candidates of the PDP and the LP, who finished second and third respectively, raised concerns over widespread irregularities during the general election. Reports of fraud, including vote buying and rigging, as well as acts of political violence and intimidation, were reported during the election period.
