Iraq: Adverse weather forecast across much of the country through at least Feb. 17

Severe weather is forecast across much of Iraq through at least Feb. 17. The Iraqi Meteorological and Seismology Organization has warned that a depression over the eastern Mediterranean and another low-pressure system over the Red Sea will merge as they approach Iraq and bring cloudy and rainy conditions as well as a drop in temperatures across much of the country in the coming days. The heaviest rainfall is forecast in eastern border regions and warnings for flooding have been issued for these areas. Isolated thunderstorms are possible across the country and may be accompanied by strong winds, lightning, and possible hail. Snowfall is expected over northern mountainous regions.

Due to the arid nature of the region and poor stormwater management in some urban areas, even minor rainfall accumulations could quickly result in episodes of flash flooding. Flooding is possible in streams and wadis (dry riverbeds). Moderate winds and dust storms may precede significant rainfall, though some areas - particularly desert areas - may experience high dust levels without rain. Transport disruptions are possible due to associated reduced visibility. Landslides are possible in hilly or mountainous regions, especially where heavy rainfall has saturated the soil.

Authorities may issue mandatory evacuation orders for flood-prone communities over the coming days. Disruptions to electricity and telecommunications services are possible where significant winds, flooding, and/or landslides impact utility networks.

The severe weather could contribute to transport disruptions throughout the affected area. Floodwaters and debris flows could render some bridges, rail networks, or roadways impassable, impacting overland travel in and around affected areas. Traffic and commercial trucking delays might occur along regional highways. Authorities could temporarily close some low-lying routes that become inundated by floodwaters. Hazardous weather conditions might cause flight delays and cancellations at regional airports.

Localized business disruptions may occur in low-lying areas; some businesses might not operate at full capacity because of flood damage to facilities, possible evacuations, and some employees' inability to reach work sites.