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22 Apr 2024 | 05:24 PM UTC

India: Political rallies likely to intensify nationwide through at least late April /update 5

Political rallies likely to intensify across India through at least late April. Increased security, related disruptions likely.

Warning

Political rallies will likely intensify through at least late April amid the general election period slated to occur through June 1. In recent weeks, the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and the primary opposition party, the Indian National Congress (INC), have protested in several urban centers. As of April 22, some planned campaigns include the following:

  • April 23: In Madhya Pradesh State, BJP President J.P. Nadda will lead rallies in Rewa, Satna, and Tikamgarh districts.

  • April 23-24: BJP Leader and Prime Minister Narendra Modi will visit Chhattisgarh State to address various events. On April 23, some rally sites include Janjgir at 13:00 and Dhamtari at 15:00. On April 24, the leader will go to Ambikapur, likely among other locations. Additionally, strict security measures will be in effect around Raj Bhavan (Government House) in Raipur and other stops on Modi's itinerary through April 24. Flight disruptions are likely at Swami Vivekananda Airport (RPR).

  • April 25: In Odisha State, Home Minister Amit Shah will address a public rally in Sonepur.

Further gatherings of various types, including street marches, are highly probable by the BJP and other political parties. Additionally, unionized farmers could intensify their sporadic protest campaigns to publicize their perceived grievances with existing agricultural policies. Counterdemonstrations are possible and may coincide with other prior gatherings. Potential rally sites include sports and university grounds, prominent public squares, and major highways. Well-attended events typically draw hundreds of thousands of participants.

Authorities will almost certainly maintain an increased security posture in several regions across India. The tightest security is likely during events led by Prime Minister Modi; reports indicate he may address up to 150 rallies during his campaign trail. Clashes between police and activists, as well as members of rival political camps, are possible.

Avoid all demonstrations as a standard precaution. Depart at the area at the first sign of any security disturbance. Plan accordingly for potential localized business, transport, and other related disruptions. Carry proper identification documents at all times. Maintain contact with your diplomatic mission. Heed all official transport and security advisories.