India: Political rallies likely to intensify nationwide through at least late April /update 6

Political rallies will likely intensify through at least late April amid the general election period slated to occur through June 1. In recent weeks, the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and the primary opposition party, the Indian National Congress (INC), have protested in several urban centers. As of April 26, some planned campaigns include the following:

• April 27: Prime Minister Modi will hold a rally at Vasco da Gama in Goa State at 17:00. INC lawmaker Priyanka Gandhi Varda is set to rally at the Latur District in Maharashtra State at 15:00.

• April 28: Modi will hold a public rally at 10:00 in Belagavi, Karnataka State, before attending a program at Sirsi at 12:00, a rally at Davanagere at 14:00, and finally, a public meeting at Bellary at 16:00.

• April 29: Modi will hold a public meeting at Bagalkot, Karnataka State, at 11:00.

Further gatherings of various types, including street marches, are highly probable by the BJP and other political parties. Additionally, unionized farmers could intensify their sporadic protest campaigns to publicize their perceived grievances with existing agricultural policies. Counterdemonstrations are possible and may coincide with other prior gatherings. Potential rally sites include sports and university grounds, prominent public squares, and major highways. Well-attended events typically draw hundreds of thousands of participants.

Authorities will almost certainly maintain an increased security posture in several regions across India. The tightest security is likely during events led by Prime Minister Modi; reports indicate he may address up to 150 rallies during his campaign trail. Clashes between police and activists, as well as members of rival political camps, are possible.