Taiwan: Increased security, protests, disruptions likely islandwide through May 20 due to presidential inauguration

Increased security, protests, and related disruptions are highly likely through May 20 due to the upcoming presidential inauguration. On May 20, President-elect Lai Ching-te will deliver an inauguration address, likely at the Taipei Guest House, where similar past events have taken place. Several countries, including Canada and the US, will send their respective foreign delegations to attend the event and meet with local officials. Additional potential sites hosting official events include the National Revolutionary Martyrs' Shrine, the Presidential Office Building, and the Taipei Marriott Hotel. Additional events could occur in other parts of the island.

The Taiwan People's Party (TPP) will protest outside the ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) headquarters on Beiping East Road in Taipei from 14:00 to 16:00 on May 19 to demand several political concessions. Organizers anticipate 1,000 participants attending the gathering. Additional rallies of varying types, including marches, are possible in various urban centers through May 20. Potential gathering sites include political party offices, government buildings such as the Taipei Guest House, public squares, and thoroughfares.

Authorities will almost certainly maintain an enhanced security posture and monitor any such gatherings that materialize over the coming days. Enhanced restrictions, including vehicular checks and traffic curbs, are probable. Although unlikely, isolated minor scuffles between police and activists cannot be ruled out. Related ground transport and business disruptions are possible. The inauguration period will likely witness an increased frequency of Chinese aerial and maritime cross-strait movement, potentially impacting some associated transport services.