29 Jun 2024 | 05:49 AM UTC
Lesser Antilles: TS Beryl located east-southeast of Barbados and tracking westward toward the Windward Islands as of late June 28
TS Beryl located east-southeast of Barbados and moving westward toward Windward Islands late June 28. Heavy rainfall, disruptions likely.
As of late June 28, Tropical Storm Beryl is located approximately 1,100 miles (1,785 km) east-southeast of Barbados. The weather system is tracking westward and is forecast to move across the Windward Islands overnight June 30-July 1. Forecast models indicate that Beryl will likely strengthen into a Category 1 Hurricane by late June 30 and may develop into a Category 2 Hurricane by late July 1 as it continues to track in a west-northwestward direction. The storm's track and intensity forecast remains somewhat uncertain, and the system may change accordingly over the coming days.
According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC), Beryl is expected to produce rainfall totals of up to 6 cm (2 inches) across Barbados and the Windward Islands. Swells generated by Beryl, which may cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions, are forecast to reach the Windward and southern Leeward Islands by late June 30.
Authorities will likely issue warnings and advisories throughout the system's progression in the coming days. Weather warnings could remain active even after the system's immediate threat has diminished, as some areas may still be susceptible to rain-induced hazards. Localized evacuations are possible if weather conditions prove particularly hazardous.
Sustained heavy rainfall could trigger flooding in low-lying areas and those with easily overwhelmed drainage systems. If weather conditions prove hazardous, localized evacuations, flash flooding, and landslides are possible. The inclement weather could trigger localized business, transport, and utility disruptions and render some bridges or roadways impassable.
Stagnant pools of water during and after flooding increase insect- and waterborne diseases, such as dengue fever, cholera, and malaria. Exposure to raw sewage and other hazardous materials mixed with floodwaters poses a serious health threat.
Activate contingency plans in areas where officials forecast tropical storm conditions. Heed any evacuation orders that may be issued. Use extreme caution in low-lying coastal areas and near streams, creeks, and other waterways due to the potential for severe flooding and storm surge. Stockpile water, batteries, and other essentials in advance. Charge battery-powered devices when electricity is available; restrict the use of cellular phones to emergencies only. Power down mobile devices when not in use. Keep important documents and necessary medications in waterproof containers. Observe strict food and water precautions, as municipalities could issue boil-water advisories following flooding events. Take precautions against insect- and waterborne diseases in the coming weeks.
Plan accordingly for protracted commercial, transport, and logistics disruptions in areas in the path of the storm, especially if vital infrastructure is damaged. Seek updated information on road conditions before driving or routing shipments through areas where flooding has occurred. Confirm flights before checking out of hotels or driving to the airport; clearing passenger backlogs may take several days in some locations.
