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16 Aug 2024 | 02:19 AM UTC

New Zealand: Severe weather forecast across central and southern parts of North Island and northern parts of South Island through at least Aug. 18

Severe weather forecast across northern North Island and northwestern South Island, New Zealand, through Aug. 18. Disruptions likely.

Warning

Severe weather is forecast across central and southern parts of North Island and northern parts of South Island through at least Aug. 18. A deep subtropical low is forecast to pass northeast of North Island, bringing heavy rainfall to the affected areas.

As of Aug. 16, the New Zealand National Meteorological Service (MetService) has issued the following weather warnings across the affected areas:

  • Orange Heavy Rain Warning (middle level on a three-tier scale): Tararua Range. Rainfall totals of 10-15 cm (4-6 inches) are forecast in the area.

  • Yellow Heavy Rain Watch: Ranges of eastern Bay of Plenty east of SH2, far northwest ranges of Tairawhiti/Gisborne, northern Taranaki across Tongariro National Park and northwards to Waitomo, and Tasman west of Motueka.

  • Yellow Heavy Snow Watch: Inland parts of Canterbury north of Waipara and Marlborough south of SH63.

  • Yellow Strong Wind Watch: Taihape, Hawke's Bay, and Gisborne/Tairawhiti.

Authorities will likely issue new alerts or update/rescind existing advisories as weather conditions change over the coming days.

Where precipitation falls as rain, flash and areal flooding is possible. This may occur in low-lying communities near watercourses and other large bodies of water and in urban areas with easily overwhelmed stormwater drainage systems. Sites downstream of large reservoirs may be subject to flash flooding after relatively short periods of intense rainfall.

Precipitation could fall as snow in the higher elevations over the coming days. Wind gusts could cause blowing and drifting snow; decreased visibility is likely in mountainous areas. Rain-induced landslides are possible in areas of elevated terrain; there is also the possibility of avalanches in mountainous areas where the snowpack has become unstable due to heavy snowfall. Power outages are likely throughout the affected area.

Floodwaters and related debris will likely render some bridges, rail networks, or roadways impassable, impacting overland travel in and around the affected area. Flooding in urban areas will probably cause significant traffic congestion. Heavy snow will make driving hazardous in some areas; authorities will likely implement temporary road closures or detours in such locations. Mountain passes and tunnels will probably be closed as a precautionary measure during periods of intense snowfall.

The disruptive weather will likely cause delays and cancellations at airports across the affected region. Authorities will probably suspend port operations temporarily if strong winds trigger hazardous sea conditions, impacting freight and passenger maritime traffic. Flooding/snow will likely block regional rail lines, causing freight and passenger train delays and cancellations.

Disruptions triggered by inclement weather and resultant hazards, such as flooding or avalanches, will likely persist well after conditions have improved—it could take days before floodwaters recede and/or officials clear debris. Repair or reconstruction efforts may result in residual disruptions if there is severe damage to infrastructure.

Monitor local media for weather updates and related advisories. Confirm all transport reservations and business appointments prior to travel. Make allowances for potential localized travel delays and supply chain disruptions where flooding is forecast. Do not drive on flooded roads. Charge battery-powered devices in the case of prolonged electricity outages.