India: Further protests, related tensions likely in Himachal Pradesh State into late September following clashes on Sept. 13

Following recent unrest, further rallies denouncing the illegal construction of a mosque are likely to occur in Himachal Pradesh through late September. Since late August, hundreds of activists have staged various sporadic protest campaigns, including marches and shutdown strikes, in Shimla, resulting in clashes between police and protesters. On Sept. 13, recurring clashes erupted during a protest march in Mandi District when activists attempted to head toward the mosque, and police used water cannons to disperse the crowd.

Further gatherings of varying types, including shutdown strikes and marches, are likely over the coming days. Potential gathering sites include political party offices, government buildings, public squares, and thoroughfares. Well-attended gatherings could draw hundreds of participants.

Authorities are maintaining an increased security presence in Mandi and are likely to monitor any additional gatherings that materialize. Depending on operational needs, officials could implement enhanced restrictions, including temporary public movement curbs. Further clashes between police and activists and between members of opposing groups cannot be ruled out. Associated localized transport and business disruptions are possible.