30 Sep 2024 | 09:41 PM UTC
Israel, Lebanon: IDF ground incursion into Lebanon possible as of late Sept. 30 amid increased security and troop movement in northern region
Israeli military ground incursion into Lebanon possible as of late Sept. 30 amid increased security and troop movements to northern border.
A cross-border ground incursion by the Israel Defense Force (IDF) into southern Lebanon may be imminent over the coming hours or days amid heightened tensions between the two countries. As of late Sept. 30, the IDF has tightened security and massed troops near the border with its northern neighbor; military authorities have established a closed military zone in northern communities, prohibiting entry into Metula, Misgav Am, and Kfar Giladi. Unconfirmed reports indicate that IDF units have also expanded artillery fire to target additional border areas within Lebanon; despite claims that Israeli special forces teams may already be inside Lebanon, officials in Tel Aviv have denied that any Israeli troops are in the country.
Israeli military officials have issued a warning advising residents of the southern Beirut neighborhoods of Al-Laylaki, Haret Hreik, and Burj al-Barajneh to immediately evacuate and/or stay at least 500 meters (550 yards) away from certain buildings allegedly identified as Lebanese Hizballah (LH) assets for their own safety. There are conflicting reports regarding the status of Lebanese troops in the border zone, with some sources claiming that the forces have evacuated their positions and withdrawn 5 km (3 miles) further from the border whereas others assert that units are simply repositioning in response to the situation.
The situation at the Israel-Lebanon border will remain extremely tense and unpredictable as events unfold. Should the Israeli ground forces indeed enter Lebanon, the operation will likely be limited to establishing a buffer zone along the border to allow residents of northern Israel to safely return to their homes. Nevertheless, aerial and artillery strikes could continue to target locations further inside of Lebanon as the IDF seeks to neutralize LH assets.
Consider avoiding nonessential travel to Lebanon and Israel, particularly the shared border region, until the situation stabilizes. Consider departing Lebanon via commercial means while these are available. Note that commercial options in Lebanon may become increasingly limited if the security environment deteriorates. Maintain contact with diplomatic representations. Monitor local media and abide by security forces' directives. If incoming mortar rounds or rockets are reported or warning sirens sound in the general vicinity, report to the nearest bomb shelter and await further instructions from authorities. If there is no shelter nearby, stay indoors and away from windows and exterior walls. If possible, move to a ground floor or basement. Maintain contact with your diplomatic representation. Reconfirm the status of transport services before departure. Review and update contingency plans.
