North Macedonia: Adverse weather forecast across the country through at least Sept. 14

Severe weather is forecast across North Macedonia through at least Sept. 14. Thunderstorms accompanied by heavy downpours, strong wind gusts, lightning, and possible hail are forecast across the country Sept. 10. Rainfall totals of more than 3 cm (1.2 inches) and winds gusting over 70 kph (43 mph) are expected. The adverse weather will persist with lesser intensity Sept. 11 before calmer conditions prevail Sept. 12. Further showers and storms are expected across much of the country Sept. 13-14. Heavy downpours may trigger flooding in low-lying areas and strong winds may cause property damage and power outages.

As of Sept. 10, officials have issued orange heavy rainfall warnings (the middle level on a three-tier scale) across Eastern, Northeastern, Polog, and Vardar regions. Yellow heavy rainfall warnings have been issued across the rest of the country and yellow thunderstorm warnings are in place nationwide. Officials could update and possibly extend the coverage of weather alerts over the coming days.

Sustained heavy rainfall could trigger flooding in low-lying communities near rivers, streams, and creeks. Urban flooding is also possible in developed areas with easily overwhelmed stormwater drainage systems. Sites downstream from large reservoirs or rivers may be subject to flash flooding after relatively short periods of intense rainfall. Landslides cannot be discounted in hilly or mountainous areas, especially where heavy rainfall has saturated the soil.

Authorities could issue mandatory evacuation orders for flood-prone communities over the coming days. The adverse weather conditions could cause power outages throughout the affected area.

The severe weather could contribute to transport disruptions throughout the region. Traffic and commercial trucking delays might occur along regional highways. Strong winds might pose a hazard to high-profile vehicles. Floodwaters and debris flows may render some bridges, rail networks, or roadways impassable, impacting overland travel in and around affected areas. Ponding on road surfaces could cause hazardous driving conditions on regional highways. Authorities could temporarily close some low-lying routes that become inundated by floodwaters.

Severe weather could also trigger flight delays and cancellations at regional airports. Flooding could block regional rail lines; freight and passenger train delays and cancellations are possible in areas with heavy rainfall and potential track inundation.

Disruptions triggered by inclement weather and resultant hazards, such as flooding, could persist well after conditions have improved - it could take days before any floodwaters recede and/or officials clear debris. Repair or reconstruction efforts may result in residual disruptions if there is severe damage to infrastructure.