Mexico: Heightened security almost certain to continue in Culiacan, Sinaloa State, through at least late October amid ongoing violence /update 4

Authorities will almost certainly maintain an elevated security posture in Culiacán and neighboring areas of Sinaloa State through at least late October due to an ongoing wave of gang-related violence. As of Oct. 8, the violence has resulted in nearly 155 fatalities and at least 195 reported disappearances. Recently, from Oct. 7-8, at least six people died amid the unrest in Culiacán and the neighboring municipality of El Dorado. The number of casualties will likely continue to increase over the coming days. Clashes and roadblocks have persisted in various parts of the city since Sept. 9. Reports indicate that the violence is linked to a dispute between rival factions within the Sinaloa Cartel, one of Mexico's most prominent criminal organizations, vying for control over the city.

At least 80 businesses have reportedly remained closed in the central part of the city due to the persistent threat of violence, leading to a steady slowdown in commercial activity. Although 590 National Guard troops deployed to the city on Oct. 4, violence has persisted. As a result, authorities have not yet stated when they expect the situation to stabilize.

Further clashes are highly likely. Transport and business disruptions will likely persist throughout the city and neighboring areas. Officials may announce precautionary restrictions on civilian movement, and several businesses may choose to remain closed.