India: Increased security, rallies, and related disruptions likely in West Bengal State Nov. 13 in connection with by-elections

Political rallies, increased security measures, and related disruptions are likely in West Bengal on Nov. 13 during the local by-elections. The by-elections will take place in Haroa, Madarihat, Medinipur, Naihati, Sitai, and Taldangra. Major political parties, including the ruling All India Trinamool Congress and the opposition Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), are likely to stage demonstrations to mobilize grassroots support.

Counterdemonstrations could materialize on short notice. The by-elections will coincide with an ongoing protest campaign by activists and unionized doctors denouncing an alleged sexual assault and murder case. Popular rally venues include government buildings, sports fields, public squares, and thoroughfares. Well-attended gatherings will probably draw thousands of participants.

Police will likely monitor any rallies and may use force to disperse overly unruly crowds. Depending on operational needs, the government could implement enhanced restrictions, including temporary curbs on public movement, internet access, and telecommunications.

The tightest security measures are likely to be in place near rallies attended by prominent lawmakers. Clashes between activists and police, as well as between members of opposing groups, are probable. Isolated security incidents, including arson and vandalism, cannot be ruled out. Any allegations of electoral irregularities could trigger further disorderly actions. Associated localized transport and business disruptions are likely.