India: Officials likely to maintain heightened security in parts of Srinagar through at least early November following Nov. 3 grenade attack /update 1

Officials will almost certainly maintain a heightened security posture in parts of Srinagar through at least early November following a recent fatal attack. On Nov. 3, a grenade attack occurred at a crowded flea market, injuring at least 12 civilians. Officials stated that the grenade was intended for a Central Reserve Police Force (CRPF) bunker near the Tourist Reception Centre but instead landed on the roadside. No group has as yet claimed responsibility for the attack. Reports suggest the incident occurred a day after security forces killed a top commander of Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT).

Although there were no immediate announcements for such gatherings, related demonstrations of varying types will likely occur over the coming days. Potential gathering sites include prominent government buildings such as police stations, military installations, public squares, and thoroughfares. Well-attended events could attract thousands of participants.

Authorities will likely maintain an increased security presence in the affected region and other parts of Srinagar. The government is likely to continue its operations to eliminate militant hideouts. Depending on operational needs, officials may implement enhanced restrictions, including temporary public movement and telecommunications curbs. Further isolated security incidents, such as retaliatory small-scale explosions targeting military and other law enforcement personnel, cannot be ruled out. Clashes between activists and police, as well as between militants and law enforcement personnel, are possible. Associated localized business and transport disruptions are likely.