18 Nov 2024 | 06:13 PM UTC
India: Rallies, tight security likely to intensify in Manipur State through at least early December amid recurring sporadic incidents of violence /update 34
Rallies, increased security likely to intensify in Manipur, India, through early December amid renewed violence. Exercise increased caution.
Recurring rallies, heightened security measures, and associated disruptions are likely to persist in Manipur State through at least early December amid renewed violence. On Nov. 16, renewed demonstrations occurred following the killing of six people in Jiribam District after an alleged kidnapping by militants. The protest campaign escalated on Nov. 17 due to accompanying violence, which led security forces to purportedly open fire to control the crowd. In recent days, unidentified assailants have also ransacked, committed arson, and stolen from local political party offices and the residences of lawmakers. Sporadic gunfire continues to occur between security personnel and Kuki insurgent groups, especially in Jiribam District. In one recent encounter, at least 11 suspected Kuki militants were killed.
The government has deployed over 5,000 personnel to the state to control the unrest, and the National Investigation Agency (NIA) is conducting related investigations. As of late Nov. 18, officials have extended the curfew in Imphal East and West, with all public educational institutions closed through Nov. 19. Additionally, authorities have suspended internet services in seven districts, including Bishnupur, Churachandpur, Imphal East, Imphal West, Kakching, Kangpokpi, and Thoubal, through Nov. 20.
As of late Nov. 18, the Coordinating Committee on Manipur Integrity (COCOMI) has issued an ultimatum demanding military action against the militants responsible for the deaths in Jiribam District and calling for the repeal of the Armed Forces (Special Powers) Act (AFSPA), which was reimposed in several districts earlier this month. If their demands remain unmet, activists are likely to hold disruptive protests in Manipur.
Various activist groups will likely continue to stage sporadic protests across the state, including shutdown strikes (bandhs) and roadblocks. Such actions have previously disrupted cargo delivery and vehicular movement between Imphal and other parts of Manipur. Prolonged roadblocks have also been known to affect the transport of essential goods, such as fuel and foodstuffs, especially to and from the Imphal Valley. Kuki- and Meitei-based organizations typically stage the most disruptive strikes. Typical rally sites include the residences of local politicians, security installations, and other prominent government buildings, public squares, and thoroughfares. Larger gatherings often draw thousands of participants.
Authorities will almost certainly continue to maintain an increased security presence across Manipur for the foreseeable future, potentially imposing further internet and mobile communications suspensions, as well as other restrictions, such as curfews, depending on changing operational needs. The government has deployed paramilitary forces along various state highways to ensure unimpeded transport movement in Manipur.
Law enforcement personnel may conduct mass arrests and use force, including rubber bullets, live ammunition, baton charges, and tear gas, to disperse any demonstrations that materialize. Minor bombings, acts of intimidation, clashes, arson, and vandalism targeting rival groups, security personnel, politicians, and government buildings are possible. Kuki militants typically target security personnel near police stations. Associated localized transport and business disruptions are highly likely.
Exercise a high degree of caution if operating in or near Manipur. Keep away from locations where security personnel appear to be deploying. Depart the area at the first sign of any security disturbance. Confirm business appointments, transport reservations, deliveries, and road status. Do not check out of accommodations before confirming onward travel. Carry proper identification documents to present at security checks. Maintain contact with your diplomatic mission. Heed instructions from authorities.
Since May 2023, ethnic conflict between the Kuki and Meitei communities has led to widespread violence, including armed clashes, gunfire, arson, and rioting across various locations in Manipur. The violence began on May 3, following a court order directing the state government to consider extending official tribal status to the Meitei community, which triggered protests by the Kuki community. Official figures indicate that the violence has resulted in over 240 deaths, 1,500 injuries, and the displacement of more than 60,000 residents.
