Indian Ocean: Tropical Depression Bheki tracking westward to the southwest of Reunion Nov. 22 /update 6

Tropical Depression Bheki is tracking westward in the western Indian Ocean to the southwest of Reunion Nov. 22. As of 13:00 RET, the storm's center of circulation was approximately 191 km (119 miles) south-southwest of Saint-Denis, Reunion.

Forecast models indicate the system will track west-southwestward away from Reunion Nov. 22 before weakening into a zone of disturbed weather as it turns to track southwestward Nov. 23. Some uncertainty remains in the track and intensity forecast; changes could occur in the coming hours and days.

As of Nov. 22, Meteo France La Reunion has issued yellow strong wind warnings across southern and western Reunion and yellow rough sea warnings for eastern and southeastern coastal areas. Winds gusting up to around 80 kph (50 mph) are possible in these areas, Localized showers are possible across the island, especially in elevated areas of eastern and northern Reunion. Rough seas are also expected in coastal areas. Officials will likely update or rescind existing advisories as the storm progresses.

Sustained heavy rainfall could trigger flooding in low-lying areas and those with easily overwhelmed drainage systems. Localized evacuations, flash flooding, and landslides are possible. The inclement weather could trigger localized business, transport, and utility disruptions, rendering some bridges or roadways impassable. Flight disruptions at regional airports and temporary closures of ports are also possible. Stagnant pools of water during and after flooding increase insect- and waterborne diseases, such as dengue fever, cholera, and malaria. Raw sewage and other hazardous materials mixed with floodwaters pose a serious health threat.