01 Nov 2024 | 05:39 AM UTC
Sri Lanka: Parliamentary election to take place nationwide Nov. 14
Parliamentary election to take place across Sri Lanka Nov. 14. Tight security, political rallies likely. Clashes, militant attacks possible.
Sri Lanka will hold parliamentary elections Nov. 14. Around 17 million people will vote to determine the composition of the 16th parliament, which consists of 225 members. Voting will take place 07:00-16:00. Polling day is typically declared a public holiday and results are usually announced within one day after voting. The newly elected parliament will convene Nov. 21. Campaign events, including rallies, are planned over the coming weeks, likely prompting localized disruptions. Hundreds to a few thousand people could attend campaign events, especially those hosted by candidates from the Janatha Vimukthi Peramuna (JVP), Samagi Jana Balawegaya (SJB), Sri Lanka Podujana Peramuna (SLPP), and United National Party (UNP) parties.
While most gatherings will likely be peaceful, clashes between rival party supporters, as well as with police, could occur during campaigning, polling, and announcement of results. Minor bombings, shootings, and other targeted attacks on candidates and party members, as well as political party offices, campaign events, and polling stations, are also possible. Such incidents could spark mass demonstrations that involve arson and vandalism. Other security disturbances may also occur in the aftermath of the vote, especially if there are any allegations of poll irregularities.
Although authorities have not publicized any threat to the election, strict counterterror vigilance is likely following the fatal Easter bombings in May 2019, and long-standing Tamil separatist elements in north and east Sri Lanka. Terrorism concerns will likely prompt heightened security and related transport disruptions at government buildings, major railway stations and other transport hubs, religious sites, security installations, and tourist areas.
Protests over government policies are possible ahead of and immediately after the elections, mainly in Colombo and other cities by worker unions. Potential gathering locations include public squares, government offices, railway stations, and major intersections. Localized traffic disruptions will probably occur near rally sites; police typically use force to disperse large and/or unauthorized gatherings. Strikes - especially those affecting public education and railway services - cannot be ruled out. However, significant violence or disruptions are unlikely.
Prepare for increased security measures such as roadblocks and identification checks in Sri Lanka through at least Nov. 21; allow additional time to reach destinations, especially in provincial capitals Avoid political party offices, political rallies, polling stations, and government buildings due to the potential for protests, clashes or attacks. If a large or unruly crowd materializes nearby, immediately leave the area or seek shelter indoors. Carry valid identification at all times to present at checkpoints. Monitor local media for rally updates as organizers may not publicize details in advance. Heed all official instructions, including travel, security, and traffic advisories.
Despite winning the presidency with 42.3 percent of the vote, President Dissanayake's National People's Power (NPP) alliance currently holds only three out of 225 seats in the legislature. This has hindered his ability form a complete cabinet and fulfill campaign promises. Dissanayake aims to use this election to secure a parliamentary majority and consolidate power to address several issues, including the terms of a USD 2.9 billion bailout from the International Monetary Fund (IMF). The bailout has helped stabilize inflation but has also led to public discontent over strict austerity measures, including tax increases.
