Cuba: Electrical service outages nationwide early Dec. 4; power disruptions likely through at least late December /update 1

Power outages are occurring across Cuba as of early Dec. 4 due to a major failure at the Antonio Guiteras power plant. Outages have reportedly been affecting most of the country. Although technicians are working to restore electrical service, authorities have not estimated when power will be fully restored.

Power disruptions are likely to continue across Cuba through at least late December as the country's outdated power plants and ongoing fuel shortages will likely contribute to additional unplanned power cuts. Scheduled power cuts are also regularly implemented in several locations, including Havana and Santiago de Cuba. Spontaneous protests against perceived government mismanagement are possible in response to the frequent blackouts. Localized transit disruptions and clashes between police and protesters are possible.

Outages are likely to cause temporary commercial and communications disruptions; cellular and mobile services could be affected. Traffic disruptions and longer driving times are possible during these periods due to malfunctioning traffic signals. Power outages could also result in the temporary unavailability of essential services such as ATMs and filling stations. There is an increased security threat during power outages. Blackouts could adversely affect security protocols, including alarm systems and electronic fences; opportunistic criminal activity could increase during electricity outages. Business disruptions are likely.