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Intelligence Analysis

Ramadan Observance Business Impacts and Security Considerations

27 FEB 2025

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5 min read


Ankara cityscape, capital of Turkiye

KEY TAKEAWAYS:

  • Muslims across Asia, the Middle East, and North Africa will begin observing the holy month of Ramadan on or around February 28 or March 1.  
  • During this time, government offices, businesses, and schools operate on amended schedules, travel disruptions are possible, and heightened security measures will be in place near sensitive locations.  
  • Individuals in predominantly Muslim areas should stay informed, maintain flexible itineraries, and be respectful of religious practices.

Ramadan begins with the first sighting of the crescent moon, which means the start and end dates may vary by one or two days in different countries, depending on the findings of local Islamic authorities. During Ramadan, Muslims fast from dawn until dusk, refraining from eating, drinking, and smoking. The month concludes with the celebration of Eid al-Fitr (Feast of Breaking the Fast), expected on or around March 29 to March 31. 

SOME DISRUPTION AND SECURITY CONCERNS ARE POSSIBLE

While customs differ by country, Ramadan generally brings slower-paced daylight hours and festive nighttime gatherings as people break their fast. During this time, government offices, private businesses, and schools in predominantly Muslim countries will operate on amended schedules. Some diplomatic missions may also operate with reduced hours. Significant air, road, rail, and maritime travel disruptions are possible, especially during Eid al-Fitr celebrations. Overcrowding on public transportation and reduced taxi availability are common during the hours surrounding Iftar, the evening period when Muslims break their fast after sundown.  

Heightened security measures will be implemented in regions with significant Muslim populations. Authorities will likely enhance their security posture throughout Ramadan near sensitive locations and in any areas that experience significant unrest. Ongoing tensions related to the Israeli-Hamas conflict could increase the threat of attacks by radicalized individuals, as well as a possible upsurge in violence in areas with active militant groups, including Afghanistan, western Pakistan, southern Thailand, and the Kashmir Valley, as well as Muslim-populated areas of the southern Philippines.  

During Ramadan, security threats are also heightened in parts of western China and certain Indian states. In India, tensions may arise over the enforcement of local laws related to religious practices. In some areas, there may also be attempts to close businesses seen as not adhering to local customs, which has led to unrest in the past. While street crime typically decreases, there could be a rise in theft or burglary in commercial districts. 

ADVICE FOR INDIVIDUALS DURING RAMADAN

For anyone visiting predominantly Muslim areas during Ramadan, it’s important to stay informed, maintain flexible itineraries, and be respectful of religious practices:  

  • Monitor local news, embassy alerts, and intelligence reports for updates on security risks.
  • Ensure you have access to emergency contacts, embassy details, and medical services before traveling.  
  • Know local laws, customs, and respect fasting rules by avoiding eating, drinking, smoking, and chewing gum in public during daylight hours.  
  • Stay vigilant in regions with heightened extremist threats and avoid high-threat areas.  
  • Be cautious of pickpockets and scams in crowded areas like mosques, markets, and popular Iftar venues.  
  • Avoid protests and politically sensitive areas and do not discuss sensitive political or religious matters in public. 

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