DRC: Further clashes between the army and M23 rebels likely in North Kivu Province through late August

Event

Fighting between the Armed Forces of the Democratic Republic of the Congo (FARDC) and suspected members of the M23 rebel group are likely to continue through at least late August, following clashes in the Rutshuru Territory, north of Goma, Aug. 1-2. Clashes reportedly occurred around the villages of Kabaya, Kanombe, Nkokwe, Nyenyezi, and Rubumba, located near the Rumangabo military base, prompting mass population displacements. There have been no confirmed reports of casualties, though some are likely.

A heightened security presence will likely remain in the area over the coming days. Further violence is likely. Clashes could also spill over into neighboring Rwanda or Uganda. Officials in the DRC, Rwanda, or Uganda could implement movement-restrictive measures in impacted towns. Clashes and security force responses could also impact routes in the area, including the N2 between Goma and Rutshuru.

Context

Since November 2021, the M23 rebel group has increased attacks targeting armed forces in the eastern DRC. In recent months similar clashes were reported across Rutshuru Territory. The DRC has blamed Rwanda for supporting the M23, triggering diplomatic tensions between the two countries. On July 6, both countries agreed on a de-escalation. However, the M23 later announced it was not bonded by the agreement.

The M23 is seeking to pressure the government to honor a peace agreement signed in 2013, allowing the reintegration of the armed forces into society, among other issues. In April, the group allowed for a truce with the government; however, it did not attend peace talks launched between the government and armed groups in Kenya.

The incidents highlight the persistent and elevated threat of violence in eastern regions of the DRC despite the implementation of a State of Siege in Ituri and North Kivu provinces. Multiple armed groups operate in the area. Violence in the region has left hundreds of people dead since 2021.

Advice

Consult local security partners on the viability of traveling in and around the impacted locations. Travel in convoy and during daylight hours only. Maintain contact with diplomatic missions. Adhere to directives issued by local authorities.