Police disperse NUP party rally in Mayuge (Eastern Uganda region) November 16

Event

Police dispersed a rally held by the National Unity Platform (NUP) party in Mayuge (Eastern Uganda region) on Monday, November 16. Supporters had gathered to welcome the party's presidential candidate, Robert Kyagulanyi Ssentamu, also known as Bobi Wine. Police reportedly fired tear gas and rubber bullets to disperse Wine's supporters. Security forces employed similar methods in Bugiri and Iganga districts on the same day.

Further rallies are possible in the near term and may result in clashes between opposition supporters and security forces.

Context

Political tensions in Uganda have been increasing ahead of the presidential election in 2021, after President Yoweri Museveni pushed through controversial constitutional reforms in December 2017 to remove the presidential age limit in a move widely seen as paving the way for him to stand for a sixth term in office. The debate around the proposed constitutional reforms was bitter with infighting within the ruling National Resistance Movement (NRM), regular protests and several opposition leaders being arrested. However, Museveni and his supporters, backed by a closely-aligned and powerful military, have largely succeeded in suppressing opposition to his candidacy within the NRM.

Having come to prominence during the constitutional reform campaign, Robert Kyagulanyi has become a major opposition talisman following his move into politics in 2017. The outspoken critic of Museveni has been arrested multiple times by security forces on charges related to anti-government protests, with arrests sparking unrest amongst his populist support base. After announcing his bid to run for president in the 2021 general election in 2019, he assumed leadership of the National Unity, Reconciliation and Development Party and revamped it as the National Unity Platform, becoming the party's de facto presidential candidate.

Advice

Those in Uganda are advised to monitor the situation, avoid all demonstrations as a precaution, anticipate a heightened security presence, and adhere to all instructions issued by the local authorities.