Niger: Provisional electoral results indicate second round of presidential election to occur Feb. 20 /update 1

Event

Candidates Mohamed Bazoum and Mahamane Ousmane qualified for the second round of Niger's presidential election, according to initial results released Jan. 2. The second round will occur Feb. 20; in the run-up to this date, authorities will likely deploy heightened security measures nationwide. Security forces will most likely deploy near polling stations and national election commission facilities to prevent political violence, including militant attacks aimed at undermining the election.

Tensions between rival supporters and activists of political groups could increase through late February as election day approaches and may continue after the announcement of results. Sporadic clashes between rival groups are possible before, during, and after the vote, particularly in Niamey and other larger urban areas. Localized business and transport disruptions are likely, particularly on election day.

Authorities closed Niger's air, land, and river borders during regional and municipal polls Dec. 13; they may impose similar measures during the second round Feb. 20.

Context

The proliferation of militant activity across different regions of Niger increases the possibility of attacks against civilians, polling stations, and other election-related locations in a bid to undermine the election.

Advice

If operating in Niger, exercise increased vigilance through late February. Avoid all demonstrations due to the possibility of violence. Keep away from areas where security personnel appear to be deploying. If clashes break out nearby, take shelter in a safe, non-governmental building. Monitor trusted local news sources for developments. Heed all security personnel instructions, and allow additional travel time near gatherings. Reconfirm all land, air, and river travel before departure, including freight transportation.