Niger: Protests likely to continue in Niamey through at least late February after opposition parties reject recent election outcome /update 3

Event

Protests and associated clashes are likely in Niger, particularly in Niamey, through at least the end of February after opposition parties rejected the outcome of the nation's Feb. 21 second-round presidential polls. Main opposition presidential candidate Mahamane Ousmane has demanded that the electoral commission suspend publication of the results and has called on supporters to mobilize to thwart what he alleges is a stolen election. Results currently show ruling party candidate Mohamed Bazoum as the winner of the election. Protests initially broke out in some areas of the Nigerien capital on Feb. 23, particularly near the city's main market and in the Yantala neighborhood.

Given that Niger has never had a peaceful transition of power, the possibility of further protests, possibly accompanied by violence, is high. Authorities will almost certainly maintain a heightened security posture until the potential for any election-related unrest abates. Security forces will most likely deploy near national election commission facilities and locations where spontaneous demonstrations occur. Tensions between supporters of rival political camps may continue and even increase after official results are announced. Further sporadic clashes are particularly possible in Niamey and other larger urban areas. Localized business and transport disruptions could occur during any demonstrations that may materialize.

Advice

If operating in Niger, exercise increased vigilance through late February. Avoid all demonstrations due to the possibility of violence. Keep away from areas where security personnel appear to be deploying. If clashes break out nearby, take shelter in a safe, nongovernmental building. Monitor trusted local news sources for developments. Heed all instructions from security personnel and allow additional travel time near gatherings. Reconfirm all land, air, and river travel before departure, including freight transportation.