Uganda: Additional protests possible nationwide through at least late March

Event

The security situation in Uganda will likely remain tense through at least late March as main opposition National Unity Platform (NUP) leader, Robert Kyagulanyi Ssentamu (popularly known as Bobi Wine), continues to call for protests over the January 14 presidential elections results. Ssentamu has yet to announce any specific rally time or location, though demonstrations could occur in major cities, particularly near government buildings, political party offices, and public squares. Any gatherings that materialize could draw thousands of participants.

Authorities will almost certainly deploy increased security at possible protest sites as a precaution. Demonstrators have clashed with security forces in the past, and police may use tear gas, water cannon, batons, rubber bullets, and live ammunition to disperse protesters. Security operations may also result in unannounced road closures that could prompt localized transport and commercial disruptions and airport transfer delays.

Context

The announcement follows Ssentanu's recent withdrawal of a petition alleging the Supreme Court of lack of autonomy and partiality. The incumbent President Yoweri Museveni won the presidential election with 58 percent of the votes, while Ssentamu won 35 percent. Ssentamu has rejected the vote count, claiming that the election process was fraudulent and that his party would contest the election result.

Advice

Avoid all protests due to possible clashes. Confirm appointments, as well as route and destination security conditions before conducting ground movements in affected areas. Allow additional time for travel, and seek routes around protests location. If crowds form or violence occurs nearby, leave the area immediately and seek shelter in a secure location.