12 Aug 2021 | 01:57 PM UTC
MENA: Muslims to mark Ashura regionwide Aug. 18-19
Muslims to mark Ashura in the Middle East and North Africa Aug. 18-19. Violence possible; transportation and business disruptions likely.
Event
Shi'a Muslims across the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region will commemorate Ashura Aug. 18-19. Religious processions and commemorations are likely in Bahrain, eastern Saudi Arabia, Lebanon, southern and central Iraq, Iran, Kuwait, northern and central Yemen, and parts of Egypt, the UAE, Algeria, Libya, and Syria. Some government offices and businesses will close in areas where Ashura is celebrated as a public holiday, including in Bahrain, Iran, Lebanon, and Iraq.
Major mourning processions causing significant transport disruptions are likely leading up to and during Ashura in countries with sizable Shi'a populations. In most of the MENA region, the commemorations will occur without incident. Ground travel disruptions are likely near all processions. In previous years, Ashura celebrations have been deliberately targeted for sectarian violence. Authorities will likely increase security as a precautionary measure, particularly in Iraq, Bahrain, Syria, and Lebanon. In Bahrain, anti-government protests may occur at Shi'a events. Security forces will also likely deploy to enforce COVID-19 measures, such as limitations on the size of gatherings.
Context
Ashura commemorates the death of Imam Hussein, Muhammad's grandson, at the Battle of Karbala in Iraq in 680 CE (61 AH). His death eventually led to the schism between Sunni and Shi'a Muslims. Shi'a Muslims hold marches and re-enact Hussein's death; followers consider him to have been the rightful heir to the Caliphate during his lifetime.
Advice
Confirm all business appointments, as well as travel and hotel reservations. Shi'a processions typically follow fixed, approved routes; allow additional driving time if operating near a commemoration march or Shi'a mosque. Limit photography and avoid sensitive topics of discussion, including religious and political issues. Avoid all protests.