Guatemala: Police clear most roadblocks nationwide as of Jan. 26; further protests are possible /update 1

Event

The number of disruptive events and roadblocks related to the indefinite nationwide strike in Guatemala has significantly decreased as of early Jan. 26. Authorities have cleared most roadblocks and no major transportation disruptions on highways have been reported. Additionally, the main unions representing transport workers, such as freight carriers, taxis, and bus drivers, have not called for further major protests as of early Jan. 26.

There is still a possibility that smaller protests will continue as the government and unions have not reached a final agreement regarding insurance requirements for transport operators, which was the reason behind the protests. The government postponed the measure that would take effect Feb. 2 for another six months to allow time for talks between the government and groups in the transportation sector.

If unrest continues, participants are likely to target key routes across Guatemala, such as the Trans-Atlantic Highway, border crossings, ports, airports, and entrances to departmental capitals. The departments of Quetzaltenango, Suchitepequez, and Retalhuleu are the most likely to be affected if the unions call for further demonstrations.

A heavy police presence is almost certain near any major gatherings that may occur. Police could use force to disperse participants and unblock major roads. Any violence would pose an incidental threat to bystanders.

Advice

Monitor developments. Avoid all protests as a routine security precaution and to mitigate associated disruptions. Heed instructions from security forces and leave the area at the first sign of a confrontation. Do not attempt to pass through any roadblock protests. Check traffic conditions and public transport schedules for disruptions before beginning journeys. Allow extra time for travel in affected areas and plan alternative routes if necessary. Plan for possible supply chain disruptions.